Necaxa vs Atlas match stats & report
0–2 Full time
Necaxa lost to Atlas 0–2 in Liga MX (Apertura - 12) on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.85–2.19. Atlas had 51% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Necaxa 49%, the draw 27% and Atlas 25%.
Necaxa vs Atlas match statistics
- 49% Ball possession 51%
- 1.85 Expected goals (xG) 2.19
- 20 Total shots 14
- 3 Shots on target 5
- 8 Shots off target 6
- 9 Blocked shots 3
- 14 Shots inside the box 10
- 10 Corners 6
- 14 Fouls 12
- 1 Offsides 0
- 1 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 1
- 391 Passes 429
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 5' Goal R. Mmaee (assist F. Monzón) Atlas
- 67' Red card M. Valenzuela Atlas
- 77' Yellow card A. Frias Atlas
- 90' Goal M. Capasso Atlas
- 90+3' Yellow card D. Ochoa Necaxa
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 49%Necaxa fair odds 2.06
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.77
- 25%Atlas fair odds 4.02
Most likely score 1-1 (12.6%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.20 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 16% | 6.40 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 13.83 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21% | 4.71 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.46 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 57% | 1.75 |
| Both teams to score: No | 43% | 2.33 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.6
Necaxa 6.1 · Atlas 4.5
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 9.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 10.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 11.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 12.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 4.5
Necaxa 2.3 · Atlas 2.2
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 81% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 4.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 5.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 6.5 | 17% | 83% |
Expected shots on target: 8.6
Necaxa 4.9 · Atlas 3.7
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 7.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 8.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 9.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 10.5 | 26% | 74% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (325 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.6%
- 2–1 9.9%
- 1–0 8.7%
- 2–0 8.4%
- 0–0 7.2%
- 1–2 6.5%
- 3–1 5.4%
- 2–2 5.4%
Team news & lineups
Necaxa
Bench J. Ruiz , M. Pedroza , R. Martínez , Kaiky Naves , L. Faravelli , R. Cortéz , C. Andrade , J. Valencia , Leonardo Abimael Becerra Ramos, Joshua Alejandro Palacios Pulido
Atlas
Bench S. Hernández , A. González , M. Capasso , G. Aguirre , V. RÃos , J. Martín , A. Rocha , J. Rodríguez , A. Sánchez , É. Zaldívar
Form guide
Necaxa at home
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 5.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.4 per game
44% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Atlas away
7–0–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 5.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.3 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Necaxa vs Atlas head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Atlas v Necaxa | 0–0 | |
| Necaxa v Atlas | 0–1 | |
| Atlas v Necaxa | 5–3 | |
| Atlas v Necaxa | 3–2 | |
| Atlas v Necaxa | 0–4 | |
| Atlas v Necaxa | 1–2 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 26% | 3.80 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 49% | 2.06 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 23% | 4.26 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 50% | 2.00 |
| Home clean sheet | 32% | 3.17 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 89% | 1.12 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.36 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 68% | 1.46 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 74% | 1.36 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 51% | 1.95 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 51% | 1.95 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 32% | 3.12 |
| Away clean sheet | 19% | 5.35 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 25% | 4.02 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 11% | 8.95 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 11% | 9.45 |