Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas match stats & report

1–1 Full time

Liga MX · Mexico · Apertura - 11 · Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara · Ref Marco Antonio Ortiz Nava

Atlas stats & fixtures · Guadalajara Chivas stats & fixtures

Atlas drew with Guadalajara Chivas 1–1 in Liga MX (Apertura - 11) on 11 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.68–2.12. Guadalajara Chivas had 56% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Atlas 22%, the draw 28% and Guadalajara Chivas 50%.

Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas match statistics

AtlasGuadalajara Chivas

Goals and cards

  1. 26' Yellow card J. Purata Atlas
  2. 30' Yellow card R. Ledezma Guadalajara Chivas
  3. 41' Yellow card D. Aguirre Guadalajara Chivas
  4. 52' Goal K. Zenón (assist Paulo Ramírez) Atlas
  5. 63' Yellow card F. Monzón Atlas
  6. 76' Penalty missed Á. Sepúlveda Guadalajara Chivas
  7. 84' Yellow card K. Castañeda Guadalajara Chivas
  8. 86' Goal Á. Sepúlveda (assist B. Gutiérrez) Guadalajara Chivas
  9. 89' Yellow card Santiago Sandoval Guadalajara Chivas
  10. 90+8' Red card K. Castañeda Guadalajara Chivas

The Ghost's pre-match prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (13.3%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals91%1.10
Over 1.5 goals74%1.35
Over 2.5 goals48%2.10
Over 3.5 goals26%3.89
Over 4.5 goals12%8.43
Under 0.5 goals9%11.08
Under 1.5 goals26%3.88
Under 2.5 goals52%1.91
Under 3.5 goals74%1.35
Under 4.5 goals88%1.13
Both teams to score: Yes52%1.93
Both teams to score: No48%2.07

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 10.2

Atlas 3.5 · Guadalajara Chivas 6.7

Total cornersOverUnder
8.567%33%
9.556%44%
10.544%56%
11.533%67%
12.524%76%

Expected cards: 4.2

Atlas 2.3 · Guadalajara Chivas 1.9

Total cardsOverUnder
2.578%22%
3.559%41%
4.541%59%
5.525%75%
6.514%86%

Expected shots on target: 8.6

Atlas 3.4 · Guadalajara Chivas 5.2

Total shots on targetOverUnder
6.573%27%
7.561%39%
8.548%52%
9.536%64%
10.525%75%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (317 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 13.3%
  2. 0–1 10.7%
  3. 1–2 9.8%
  4. 0–2 9.5%
  5. 0–0 9.0%
  6. 1–0 6.0%
  7. 2–1 5.9%
  8. 1–3 5.0%

Team news & lineups

Form guide

Atlas at home

1–4–5 in 10 matches

Scored
1.1 per game
Conceded
1.7 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Corners
4.9 per game
Shots on target
2.7 per game

25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Guadalajara Chivas away

2–7–1 in 10 matches

Scored
1.2 per game
Conceded
1.0 per game
Clean sheets
4 / 10
Corners
5.0 per game
Shots on target
5.0 per game

17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Atlas v Guadalajara Chivas 0–1
Atlas v Guadalajara Chivas 1–2
Atlas v Guadalajara Chivas 0–0
Guadalajara Chivas v Atlas 4–1
Atlas v Guadalajara Chivas 1–1
Atlas v Guadalajara Chivas 0–0

The full Atlas vs Guadalajara Chivas head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away clean sheet 37% 2.72
Away +0.5 handicap 78% 1.29
Away -0.5 handicap 50% 2.01
Home clean sheet 21% 4.86
Draw/Away double chance 78% 1.29
Away +1.5 handicap 91% 1.10
Away -1.5 handicap 26% 3.82
Away Over 0.5 team goals 79% 1.26
Home +1.5 handicap 74% 1.36
Home/Away double chance 72% 1.39
Home +0.5 handicap 50% 1.99
Away Over 1.5 team goals 47% 2.14
Home/Draw double chance 50% 1.99
Home Over 0.5 team goals 63% 1.58
Away Over 2.5 team goals 21% 4.81
Home -0.5 handicap 22% 4.46
Home Over 1.5 team goals 26% 3.78
Home -1.5 handicap 9% 11.38
Home Over 2.5 team goals 8% 12.30