Puebla vs Leon match stats & report
1–1 Full time
Puebla drew with Leon 1–1 in Liga MX (Apertura - 11) on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 0.71–1.86. Puebla had 52% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Puebla 36%, the draw 29% and Leon 35%.
Puebla vs Leon match statistics
- 52% Ball possession 48%
- 0.71 Expected goals (xG) 1.86
- 18 Total shots 10
- 6 Shots on target 3
- 7 Shots off target 5
- 5 Blocked shots 2
- 7 Shots inside the box 7
- 6 Corners 6
- 6 Fouls 10
- 4 Offsides 3
- 1 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 1
- 442 Passes 422
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 5
Goals and cards
- 42' Goal I. Díaz (assist D. Cambindo) Leon
- 46' Yellow card J. Lara Leon
- 80' Yellow card H. Jurado Puebla
- 87' Goal E. Armenta (assist J. Vargas) Puebla
- 90+1' Red card J. Cortizo Leon
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 36%Puebla fair odds 2.75
- 29%Draw fair odds 3.48
- 35%Leon fair odds 2.86
Most likely score 1-1 (13.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.02 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.63 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 13% | 7.66 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.76 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24% | 4.14 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.99 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.38 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 55% | 1.81 |
| Both teams to score: No | 45% | 2.24 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 11.1
Puebla 5.5 · Leon 5.6
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 10.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 11.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 12.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 13.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 3.9
Puebla 2.2 · Leon 1.7
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 4.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% |
Expected shots on target: 9.9
Puebla 5.3 · Leon 4.6
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 8.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 9.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 10.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 11.5 | 30% | 70% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (316 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.7%
- 0–0 8.5%
- 2–1 8.4%
- 1–2 8.2%
- 1–0 7.9%
- 0–1 7.7%
- 2–0 6.4%
- 0–2 6.1%
Team news & lineups
Puebla
Bench Ó. Villa , H. Jurado , A. Herrera , E. Armenta , Á. Leyva , I. Maestro Puch , E. Mustre , J. Pachuca , J. Rodríguez
Leon
Bench P. Bellón , B. Colula , J. Cortizo , J. Domínguez , R. Echeverría , Ó. García , S. Vegas , A. Villegas , D. Arcila , J. Alvarado
Form guide
Puebla at home
2–5–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.1 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 5.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.9 per game
12% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Leon away
3–3–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 4.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.5 per game
20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Puebla vs Leon head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Puebla v Leon | 0–1 | |
| Leon v Puebla | 1–2 | |
| Leon v Puebla | 1–0 | |
| Puebla v Leon | 2–2 | |
| Leon v Puebla | 2–1 | |
| Puebla v Leon | 5–4 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -0.5 handicap | 36% | 2.75 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 39% | 2.57 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 65% | 1.54 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 65% | 1.54 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 17% | 5.82 |
| Home clean sheet | 27% | 3.71 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home/Away double chance | 71% | 1.40 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 83% | 1.21 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 64% | 1.57 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 15% | 6.54 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 64% | 1.57 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 38% | 2.65 |
| Away clean sheet | 26% | 3.82 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 35% | 2.86 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 16% | 6.15 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 15% | 6.84 |