Lazio vs Parma prediction & stats
Lazio take on Parma in Serie A on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Lazio favourites at 55%, with the draw at 29%. The likeliest score is 1–0, at 14.8%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 39% and both teams scoring at 43%.
Lazio vs Parma prediction
- 55%Lazio fair odds 1.81
- 29%Draw fair odds 3.48
- 16%Parma fair odds 6.18
Most likely score 1-0 (14.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 88% | 1.13 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 1.48 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.54 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 5.22 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 8% | 12.70 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 12% | 8.49 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 33% | 3.07 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.65 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 43% | 2.35 |
| Both teams to score: No | 57% | 1.74 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.8
Lazio 5.3 · Parma 3.6
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 7.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 8.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 9.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 10.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 4.1
Lazio 1.9 · Parma 2.2
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 4.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 5.5 | 23% | 77% |
| 6.5 | 12% | 88% |
Expected shots on target: 8.1
Lazio 5.2 · Parma 2.9
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 7.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 8.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 9.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 10.5 | 21% | 79% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (384 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–0 14.8%
- 1–1 13.2%
- 2–0 12.1%
- 0–0 11.8%
- 2–1 9.3%
- 3–0 6.0%
- 0–1 5.9%
- 3–1 4.6%
Team news & lineups
Lazio
- 10 M. Zaccagni Attacker
- 17 Nuno Tavares Defender
- 24 K. Taylor Midfielder
- 15 R. Floriani Mussolini Defender
- 35 C. Mandas Goalkeeper
- 25 O. Provstgaard Defender
- 16 D. Frattesi Midfielder
- 21 R. Belahyane Midfielder
- 14 T. Noslin Attacker
- 5 D. Doekhi Defender
- 11 G. Isaksen Attacker
Parma
- 19 E. Touré Attacker
- 15 E. Del Prato Midfielder
- 37 M. Troilo Defender
- 40 E. Corvi Goalkeeper
- 16 M. Keita Midfielder
- 14 E. Valeri Midfielder
- 34 Diego Carlos Defender
- 4 V. Sierro Midfielder
- 76 S. Lontani Attacker
- 23 N. Elphege Attacker
- 80 G. Fabbian Attacker
Out and doubtful
- A. Furlanetto Lazio Out — Jumpers Knee
- Patric Lazio Out — Sprained Ankle
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Lazio at home
6–3–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 3.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 4.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.7 per game
22% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Parma away
2–2–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 2.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.2 per game
40% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Lazio vs Parma head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Lazio v Parma | 1–1 | |
| Parma v Lazio | 0–1 | |
| Lazio v Parma | 2–2 | |
| Parma v Lazio | 3–1 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 95% | 1.06 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Home/Away double chance | 71% | 1.40 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 71% | 1.41 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 55% | 1.81 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 52% | 1.91 |
| Home clean sheet | 48% | 2.10 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 45% | 2.22 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 45% | 2.23 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 45% | 2.23 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 29% | 3.45 |
| Away clean sheet | 21% | 4.67 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 19% | 5.16 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 17% | 5.91 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 16% | 6.18 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 5% | 19.15 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 4% | 25.29 |