Napoli vs AS Roma prediction & stats
Napoli take on AS Roma in Serie A on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Napoli favourites at 34%, with the draw at 31%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 14.8%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams scoring at 49%.
Napoli vs AS Roma prediction
- 34%Napoli fair odds 2.91
- 31%Draw fair odds 3.18
- 34%AS Roma fair odds 2.93
Most likely score 1-1 (14.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 89% | 1.13 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.44 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 4.88 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 9% | 11.56 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 11% | 8.74 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 31% | 3.24 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.70 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 79% | 1.26 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 91% | 1.09 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 49% | 2.05 |
| Both teams to score: No | 51% | 1.95 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.7
Napoli 5.2 · AS Roma 3.5
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 7.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 8.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 9.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 10.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 3.4
Napoli 1.5 · AS Roma 2.0
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 3.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 4.5 | 27% | 73% |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 8.5
Napoli 4.8 · AS Roma 3.7
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 7.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 8.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 9.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 10.5 | 24% | 76% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (384 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.8%
- 0–0 11.4%
- 1–0 9.7%
- 0–1 9.7%
- 2–1 7.7%
- 1–2 7.7%
- 2–0 6.7%
- 0–2 6.6%
Team news & lineups
Napoli
- 22 G. Di Lorenzo Defender
- 13 Amir Rrahmani Defender
- 6 B. Gilmour Midfielder
- 68 S. Lobotka Midfielder
- 5 B. Badiashile Defender
- 19 R. Højlund Attacker
- 16 Rafa Marín Defender
- 11 K. De Bruyne Midfielder
- 37 L. Spinazzola Defender
- 23 Giovane Midfielder
- 8 S. McTominay Midfielder
AS Roma
- 18 M. Soulé Attacker
- 5 E. Ndicka Defender
- 95 P. Gollini Goalkeeper
- 15 M. de Roon Midfielder
- 23 G. Mancini Defender
- 22 Hermoso Defender
- 21 P. Dybala Attacker
- 14 D. Malen Attacker
- 20 N. Molina Midfielder
- 17 M. Kone Midfielder
- 43 Wesley Midfielder
Out and doubtful
- M. Bah AS Roma Out — Jumpers Knee
- A. Buongiorno Napoli Out — Jumpers Knee
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Napoli at home
6–1–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 4.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.4 per game
11% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
AS Roma away
4–4–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 4.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
16% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Napoli vs AS Roma head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Napoli v AS Roma | 2–2 | |
| AS Roma v Napoli | 0–1 | |
| AS Roma v Napoli | 1–1 | |
| Napoli v AS Roma | 1–0 | |
| Napoli v AS Roma | 2–2 | |
| AS Roma v Napoli | 2–0 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 85% | 1.17 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 85% | 1.18 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 69% | 1.45 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 69% | 1.46 |
| Home/Away double chance | 69% | 1.46 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 66% | 1.52 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 66% | 1.52 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 66% | 1.52 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 66% | 1.52 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 34% | 2.91 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 34% | 2.93 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 32% | 3.08 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 32% | 3.10 |
| Home clean sheet | 31% | 3.19 |
| Away clean sheet | 31% | 3.20 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 15% | 6.66 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 15% | 6.72 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 11% | 8.86 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 11% | 8.94 |