Como vs Sassuolo prediction & stats
Como take on Sassuolo in Serie A on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Como favourites at 63%, with the draw at 22%. The likeliest score is 2–0, at 10.8%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 54%.
Como vs Sassuolo prediction
- 63%Como fair odds 1.60
- 22%Draw fair odds 4.45
- 15%Sassuolo fair odds 6.69
Most likely score 2-0 (10.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 1.76 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.93 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 18% | 5.65 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 16.13 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19% | 5.18 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 43% | 2.32 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.52 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 54% | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score: No | 46% | 2.18 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.1
Como 6.3 · Sassuolo 2.8
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 8.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 9.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 10.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 11.5 | 22% | 78% |
Expected cards: 4.0
Como 1.8 · Sassuolo 2.3
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 4.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 5.5 | 23% | 77% |
| 6.5 | 12% | 88% |
Expected shots on target: 9.8
Como 6.9 · Sassuolo 3.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 8.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 9.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 10.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 11.5 | 29% | 71% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (384 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 10.8%
- 1–1 10.7%
- 2–1 10.6%
- 1–0 9.7%
- 3–0 7.1%
- 3–1 6.9%
- 0–0 6.2%
- 2–2 4.5%
Team news & lineups
Como
- 11 A. Diao Midfielder
- 4 Jacobo Ramón Naveros Defender
- 10 N. Paz Midfielder
- 99 T. Chalobah Defender
- 20 M. Baturina Midfielder
- 5 M. Perrone Midfielder
- 16 Kaiki Defender
- 27 Yan Couto Defender
- 7 L. da Cunha Midfielder
- 3 Álex Valle Defender
- 6 Luis Milla Midfielder
Sassuolo
- 18 N. Matić Midfielder
- 49 A. Murić Goalkeeper
- 3 J. Doig Defender
- 45 A. Laurienté Attacker
- 94 S. Esposito Attacker
- 10 D. Berardi Attacker
- 50 D. Bakola Midfielder
- 15 D. Ćaleta-Car Defender
- 16 F. Leysen Defender
- 42 K. Thorstvedt Midfielder
- 20 I. Van der Brempt Defender
Out and doubtful
- D. Boloca Sassuolo Out — Muscle Bruise
- I. Koné Sassuolo Out — Broken Leg
- E. Pieragnolo Sassuolo Out — Jumpers Knee
- Fali Candé Sassuolo Out — Jumpers Knee
- Y. Paz Sassuolo Out — Jumpers Knee
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Como at home
6–3–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 6.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.4 per game
27% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Sassuolo away
0–2–8 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 2.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 4.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.4 per game
10% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Como vs Sassuolo head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo v Como | 2–1 | |
| Como v Sassuolo | 2–0 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 94% | 1.06 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 85% | 1.18 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 85% | 1.18 |
| Home/Away double chance | 78% | 1.29 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 63% | 1.60 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 62% | 1.62 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 61% | 1.64 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 61% | 1.65 |
| Home clean sheet | 39% | 2.55 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 38% | 2.61 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 37% | 2.67 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 37% | 2.67 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 33% | 3.05 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 24% | 4.18 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 15% | 6.69 |
| Away clean sheet | 13% | 7.81 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 7% | 14.51 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 6% | 18.15 |