Cagliari vs Bologna prediction & stats

Serie A · Italy · Regular Season - 8 · Unipol Domus, Cagliari

Cagliari stats & fixtures · Bologna stats & fixtures

Cagliari take on Bologna in Serie A on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Bologna favourites at 36%, with the draw at 32%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 14.9%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 41% and both teams scoring at 48%.

Cagliari vs Bologna prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (14.9%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals88%1.13
Over 1.5 goals69%1.45
Over 2.5 goals41%2.46
Over 3.5 goals20%4.96
Over 4.5 goals8%11.84
Under 0.5 goals12%8.61
Under 1.5 goals31%3.20
Under 2.5 goals59%1.68
Under 3.5 goals80%1.25
Under 4.5 goals92%1.09
Both teams to score: Yes48%2.06
Both teams to score: No52%1.94

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 9.1

Cagliari 4.7 · Bologna 4.4

Total cornersOverUnder
7.567%33%
8.555%45%
9.543%57%
10.531%69%
11.522%78%

Expected cards: 3.7

Cagliari 1.9 · Bologna 1.9

Total cardsOverUnder
1.588%12%
2.571%29%
3.551%49%
4.532%68%
5.518%82%

Expected shots on target: 8.3

Cagliari 4.1 · Bologna 4.2

Total shots on targetOverUnder
6.571%29%
7.558%42%
8.545%55%
9.533%67%
10.523%77%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (384 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 14.9%
  2. 0–0 11.6%
  3. 0–1 10.2%
  4. 1–0 9.4%
  5. 1–2 7.9%
  6. 2–1 7.4%
  7. 0–2 7.1%
  8. 2–0 6.2%

Team news & lineups

Cagliari

Probable — not confirmed

Bologna

Probable — not confirmed

Out and doubtful

  • Riyad Idrissi Cagliari Out — Jumpers Knee

Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.

Form guide

Cagliari at home

5–1–4 in 10 matches

Scored
1.0 per game
Conceded
1.0 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
4.8 per game
Shots on target
3.6 per game

10% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Bologna away

4–1–5 in 10 matches

Scored
1.1 per game
Conceded
1.6 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Corners
2.4 per game
Shots on target
4.3 per game

18% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Cagliari vs Bologna head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Bologna v Cagliari 0–0
Cagliari v Bologna 0–2
Bologna v Cagliari 2–1
Cagliari v Bologna 0–2
Cagliari v Bologna 2–1
Bologna v Cagliari 2–1

The full Cagliari vs Bologna head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away +1.5 handicap 86% 1.16
Home +1.5 handicap 84% 1.19
Away Over 0.5 team goals 70% 1.44
Home/Away double chance 68% 1.46
Away +0.5 handicap 68% 1.48
Draw/Away double chance 68% 1.48
Home Over 0.5 team goals 67% 1.49
Home/Draw double chance 64% 1.56
Home +0.5 handicap 64% 1.56
Away -0.5 handicap 36% 2.78
Away Over 1.5 team goals 33% 3.00
Away clean sheet 33% 3.06
Home -0.5 handicap 32% 3.08
Home Over 1.5 team goals 31% 3.25
Home clean sheet 30% 3.28
Away -1.5 handicap 16% 6.27
Home -1.5 handicap 14% 7.25
Away Over 2.5 team goals 12% 8.48
Home Over 2.5 team goals 10% 9.67