Parma vs Torino prediction & stats

Serie A · Italy · Regular Season - 7 · Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma · Ref Giovanni Ayroldi

Parma stats & fixtures · Torino stats & fixtures

Parma take on Torino in Serie A on 19 October 2026. The Ghost makes Torino favourites at 39%, with the draw at 32%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 15.0%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 38% and both teams scoring at 46%.

Parma vs Torino prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (15.0%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals87%1.15
Over 1.5 goals66%1.51
Over 2.5 goals38%2.66
Over 3.5 goals18%5.57
Over 4.5 goals7%13.89
Under 0.5 goals13%7.80
Under 1.5 goals34%2.95
Under 2.5 goals62%1.60
Under 3.5 goals82%1.22
Under 4.5 goals93%1.08
Both teams to score: Yes46%2.18
Both teams to score: No54%1.85

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 8.9

Parma 4.9 · Torino 4.0

Total cornersOverUnder
6.576%24%
7.565%35%
8.552%48%
9.540%60%
10.529%71%

Expected cards: 3.3

Parma 1.4 · Torino 1.9

Total cardsOverUnder
1.583%17%
2.563%37%
3.542%58%
4.524%76%
5.512%88%

Expected shots on target: 7.8

Parma 3.8 · Torino 4.1

Total shots on targetOverUnder
5.577%23%
6.565%35%
7.551%49%
8.538%62%
9.527%73%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (384 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 15.0%
  2. 0–0 12.8%
  3. 0–1 11.6%
  4. 1–0 9.4%
  5. 1–2 8.0%
  6. 0–2 7.9%
  7. 2–1 6.6%
  8. 2–0 5.6%

Team news & lineups

Parma

Probable — not confirmed

Torino

Probable — not confirmed

Out and doubtful

  • F. Israel Torino Out — Shoulder Injury
  • A. Ndiaye Parma Out — Knock
  • H. Nicolussi Parma Out — Groin Injury
  • P. Almqvist Parma Out — Calf Injury
  • P. Pellegri Torino Out — Jumpers Knee
  • E. Ilkhan Torino Doubtful — Injury
  • N. Fortini Torino Doubtful — Hernia

Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.

Form guide

Parma at home

3–4–3 in 10 matches

Scored
1.0 per game
Conceded
1.1 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 10
Corners
3.6 per game
Shots on target
2.9 per game

50% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Torino away

3–2–5 in 10 matches

Scored
1.0 per game
Conceded
1.3 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
3.1 per game
Shots on target
3.2 per game

50% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Parma vs Torino head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Torino v Parma 4–1
Parma v Torino 2–1
Parma v Torino 2–2
Torino v Parma 0–0

Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full Parma vs Torino head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home +0.5 handicap 61% 1.63
Home/Draw double chance 61% 1.63
Away +0.5 handicap 71% 1.41
Home -0.5 handicap 29% 3.44
Home clean sheet 30% 3.29
Draw/Away double chance 71% 1.41
Home +1.5 handicap 83% 1.21
Away +1.5 handicap 88% 1.13
Home/Away double chance 68% 1.48
Away -0.5 handicap 39% 2.59
Home Over 0.5 team goals 63% 1.58
Home Over 1.5 team goals 27% 3.76
Away Over 0.5 team goals 70% 1.44
Away clean sheet 37% 2.73
Away Over 1.5 team goals 33% 2.99
Home -1.5 handicap 12% 8.66
Away -1.5 handicap 17% 5.82
Away Over 2.5 team goals 12% 8.48
Home Over 2.5 team goals 8% 12.24