Monza vs Cagliari prediction & stats
Monza take on Cagliari in Serie A on 19 October 2026. The Ghost makes Monza favourites at 45%, with the draw at 28%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 13.4%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 55%.
Monza vs Cagliari prediction
- 45%Monza fair odds 2.21
- 28%Draw fair odds 3.57
- 27%Cagliari fair odds 3.73
Most likely score 1-1 (13.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.00 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.58 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 13% | 7.52 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 12.02 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24% | 4.19 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.00 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.39 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 55% | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score: No | 45% | 2.21 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.3
Monza 5.8 · Cagliari 3.5
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 8.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 9.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 10.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 11.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 3.6
Monza 1.6 · Cagliari 2.0
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 4.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% |
Expected shots on target: 10.1
Monza 6.4 · Cagliari 3.7
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 9.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 10.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 11.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 12.5 | 23% | 77% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (384 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.4%
- 2–1 9.5%
- 1–0 9.2%
- 0–0 8.3%
- 2–0 8.2%
- 1–2 6.8%
- 0–1 6.3%
- 2–2 5.2%
Team news & lineups
Monza
No lineup published yet.
Cagliari
- 70 D. Maldini Attacker
- 15 J. Rodríguez Defender
- 4 A. Romano Midfielder
- 31 P. Mendy Attacker
- 1 E. Caprile Goalkeeper
- 8 M. Adopo Defender
- 2 Zé Pedro Defender
- 33 A. Obert Defender
- 6 H. Winks Midfielder
- 14 A. Deiola Midfielder
- 26 Y. Mina Defender
Out and doubtful
- L. Lucchesi Monza Out — Red Card
- M. Pessina Monza Out — Knee Injury
- M. Felici Cagliari Out — Knee Injury
- Riyad Idrissi Cagliari Out — Knee Injury
- Y. Trepy Cagliari Out — Injury
- I. Toure Monza Out — Contusion
- J. Ziółkowski Monza Out — Foot Injury
- O. Forson Monza Out — Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Monza at home
5–2–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 5.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.9 per game
26% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Cagliari away
4–3–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 3.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.0 per game
10% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Monza vs Cagliari head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Cagliari v Monza | 3–0 | |
| Monza v Cagliari | 1–2 | |
| Monza v Cagliari | 1–0 | |
| Cagliari v Monza | 1–1 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 20% | 5.04 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 45% | 2.20 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 45% | 2.21 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 23% | 4.29 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 73% | 1.37 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 78% | 1.27 |
| Home/Away double chance | 72% | 1.39 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 68% | 1.47 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 89% | 1.13 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 32% | 3.16 |
| Home clean sheet | 32% | 3.13 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 55% | 1.82 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 55% | 1.82 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 27% | 3.73 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 77% | 1.30 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 11% | 9.18 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 11% | 8.77 |
| Away clean sheet | 22% | 4.64 |