Fiorentina vs Como prediction & stats

Serie A · Italy · Regular Season - 7 · Stadio Artemio Franchi, Firenze · Ref Marco Di Bello

Fiorentina stats & fixtures · Como stats & fixtures

Fiorentina take on Como in Serie A on 18 October 2026. The Ghost makes Como favourites at 46%, with the draw at 28%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 13.3%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 54%.

Fiorentina vs Como prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (13.3%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals92%1.09
Over 1.5 goals76%1.32
Over 2.5 goals50%2.01
Over 3.5 goals28%3.62
Over 4.5 goals13%7.62
Under 0.5 goals8%11.92
Under 1.5 goals24%4.16
Under 2.5 goals50%1.99
Under 3.5 goals72%1.38
Under 4.5 goals87%1.15
Both teams to score: Yes54%1.84
Both teams to score: No46%2.19

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 8.7

Fiorentina 3.9 · Como 4.8

Total cornersOverUnder
6.575%25%
7.563%37%
8.550%50%
9.538%62%
10.527%73%

Expected cards: 4.2

Fiorentina 2.2 · Como 2.1

Total cardsOverUnder
2.579%21%
3.561%39%
4.542%58%
5.526%74%
6.514%86%

Expected shots on target: 9.0

Fiorentina 3.4 · Como 5.6

Total shots on targetOverUnder
6.577%23%
7.566%34%
8.553%47%
9.541%59%
10.530%70%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (384 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 13.3%
  2. 1–2 9.6%
  3. 0–1 9.5%
  4. 0–2 8.5%
  5. 0–0 8.4%
  6. 2–1 6.6%
  7. 1–0 6.2%
  8. 2–2 5.1%

Team news & lineups

Fiorentina

Probable — not confirmed

Como

Probable — not confirmed

Out and doubtful

  • F. Parisi Fiorentina Out — Knee Injury
  • A. Diao Como Out — Thigh Injury
  • M. Kean Como Out — Leg Injury
  • F. Mastantuono Fiorentina Out — Broken Hand
  • R. Sottil Fiorentina Out — Back Injury
  • A. Atta Fiorentina Doubtful — Abdominal strain
  • L. Ranieri Fiorentina Doubtful — Leg Injury

Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.

Form guide

Fiorentina at home

3–5–2 in 10 matches

Scored
1.5 per game
Conceded
1.0 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
5.0 per game
Shots on target
4.3 per game

0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Como away

5–2–3 in 10 matches

Scored
1.7 per game
Conceded
1.1 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
5.8 per game
Shots on target
5.4 per game

18% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Fiorentina vs Como head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Como v Fiorentina 1–2
Fiorentina v Como 1–2
Fiorentina v Como 0–2
Como v Fiorentina 0–2

Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full Fiorentina vs Como head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away clean sheet 33% 3.03
Home clean sheet 21% 4.74
Away +0.5 handicap 74% 1.35
Draw/Away double chance 74% 1.35
Away -0.5 handicap 46% 2.15
Away +1.5 handicap 89% 1.12
Home +1.5 handicap 76% 1.32
Home +0.5 handicap 54% 1.87
Home/Draw double chance 54% 1.87
Home/Away double chance 72% 1.39
Away -1.5 handicap 24% 4.14
Away Over 0.5 team goals 79% 1.27
Home -0.5 handicap 26% 3.90
Home Over 0.5 team goals 67% 1.49
Away Over 1.5 team goals 46% 2.17
Home Over 1.5 team goals 30% 3.28
Away Over 2.5 team goals 20% 4.92
Home -1.5 handicap 11% 9.34
Home Over 2.5 team goals 10% 9.76