Venezia vs Napoli match stats & report
1–0 Full time
Venezia beat Napoli 1–0 in Serie A on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 0.67–2.46. Napoli had 71% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Venezia 21%, the draw 26% and Napoli 54%.
Venezia vs Napoli match statistics
- 29% Ball possession 71%
- 0.67 Expected goals (xG) 2.46
- 9 Total shots 29
- 4 Shots on target 10
- 5 Shots off target 7
- 0 Blocked shots 12
- 8 Shots inside the box 22
- 0 Corners 12
- 7 Fouls 6
- 0 Offsides 5
- 2 Yellow cards 0
- 0 Red cards 0
- 310 Passes 734
- 9 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 49' Goal A. Adams (assist S. Sohm) Venezia
- 61' Yellow card T. Bašić Venezia
- 68' Penalty missed K. De Bruyne Napoli
- 80' Yellow card Kike Pérez Venezia
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 21%Venezia fair odds 4.87
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.88
- 54%Napoli fair odds 1.86
Most likely score 1-1 (12.3%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.89 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.30 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 15% | 6.69 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 13.46 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22% | 4.55 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.12 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.44 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 55% | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score: No | 45% | 2.20 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.6
Venezia 3.9 · Napoli 4.7
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 7.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 8.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 9.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 10.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected cards: 3.5
Venezia 2.1 · Napoli 1.4
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 3.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 4.5 | 27% | 73% |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 9.4
Venezia 3.4 · Napoli 5.9
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 8.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 9.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 10.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 11.5 | 24% | 76% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (381 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.3%
- 1–2 10.2%
- 0–1 9.7%
- 0–2 9.6%
- 0–0 7.4%
- 1–3 5.8%
- 2–1 5.6%
- 0–3 5.5%
Team news & lineups
Venezia
Bench Lamine Dabo , L. Montipò , J. Schingtienne , R. Sagrado , Toni Fernández , M. Dagasso , K. Lisman , Lorenzo Berardi, R. Mohammed , S. Panada , Þ. Helgason , P. Mazzocchi , A. Rrahmani , L. Lauberbach , A. Gomes
Napoli
Bench L. Marianucci , Rafa Marín , M. Olivera , M. Politano , K. De Bruyne , F. Anguissa , Alisson Santos , R. Højlund , N. Lang , N. Contini , V. Milinković-Savić
Out and doubtful
- A. Adorante Venezia Out — Hernia
- B. Franjić Venezia Out — Shoulder Injury
- G. Busio Venezia Out — Thigh Injury
- M. Šverko Venezia Out — Hip Injury
- A. Buongiorno Napoli Out — Knee Injury
- A. Vergara Napoli Out — Calf Injury
- C. Favasuli Napoli Out — Thigh Injury
- David Neres Napoli Out — Thigh Injury
- A. Bella-Kotchap Venezia Out — Thigh Injury
- T. Correia Venezia Out — Thigh Injury
- Alisson Santos Napoli Doubtful — Muscle Injury
- F. Anguissa Napoli Doubtful — Groin Injury
- M. Olivera Napoli Doubtful — Groin Injury
- P. Mazzocchi Venezia Doubtful — Calf Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Venezia at home
7–0–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 5.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.8 per game
24% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Napoli away
4–3–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 5.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
31% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Venezia vs Napoli head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia v Napoli | 0–0 | |
| Napoli v Venezia | 1–0 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +0.5 handicap | 46% | 2.16 |
| Home clean sheet | 17% | 5.85 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 46% | 2.16 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 70% | 1.43 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 79% | 1.26 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 92% | 1.09 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 79% | 1.26 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 64% | 1.56 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 28% | 3.64 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 54% | 1.86 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 30% | 3.32 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 21% | 4.87 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 53% | 1.90 |
| Away clean sheet | 36% | 2.80 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 9% | 11.54 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 26% | 3.91 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 8% | 12.31 |