Atalanta vs Venezia match stats & report
3–1 Full time
Atalanta beat Venezia 3–1 in Serie A on 12 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.16–2.69. Venezia had 64% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Atalanta 68%, the draw 20% and Venezia 12%.
Atalanta vs Venezia match statistics
- 36% Ball possession 64%
- 2.16 Expected goals (xG) 2.69
- 22 Total shots 19
- 11 Shots on target 4
- 6 Shots off target 9
- 5 Blocked shots 6
- 16 Shots inside the box 10
- 8 Corners 7
- 14 Fouls 6
- 0 Offsides 5
- 0 Yellow cards 2
- 1 Red cards 0
- 332 Passes 580
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 7
Goals and cards
- 4' Goal F. Kessie (assist Nikola Krstović) Atalanta
- 6' Goal Nikola Krstović (assist E. Elmas) Atalanta
- 18' Yellow card M. Moreno Venezia
- 30' Goal Nikola Krstović Atalanta
- 37' Goal A. Hainaut (assist R. Sagrado) Venezia
- 42' Yellow card Juan Jesus Venezia
- 89' Red card E. Elmas Atalanta
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 68%Atalanta fair odds 1.47
- 20%Draw fair odds 4.98
- 12%Venezia fair odds 8.27
Most likely score 2-0 (11.3%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.66 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.67 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 20% | 4.95 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 18.82 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17% | 5.80 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.51 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.60 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 54% | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score: No | 46% | 2.17 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.9
Atalanta 5.3 · Venezia 3.7
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 7.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 8.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 9.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 10.5 | 29% | 71% |
Expected cards: 3.5
Atalanta 1.5 · Venezia 2.0
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 4.5 | 28% | 72% |
| 5.5 | 15% | 85% |
Expected shots on target: 9.7
Atalanta 6.1 · Venezia 3.6
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 8.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 9.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 10.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 11.5 | 28% | 72% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (378 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–0 11.3%
- 2–1 10.5%
- 1–1 9.5%
- 1–0 9.3%
- 3–0 8.0%
- 3–1 7.5%
- 0–0 5.3%
- 4–0 4.3%
Team news & lineups
Atalanta
Bench Nicola Zalewski , Marco Sportiello , Mattia Sonzogni , Gianluca Scamacca , Lazar Samardžić , G. Raspadori , Mario Pašalić , Relja Obrić , Sead Kolašinac , Javison Idele , G. Gaetano , Lorenzo Bernasconi
Venezia
Bench Toni Fernández , J. Schingtienne , A. Gomes , R. Haps , Þ. Helgason , L. Lauberbach , K. Lisman , R. Mohammed , L. Montipò , S. Panada , A. Rrahmani , R. Sagrado , Lamine Dabo , M. Dagasso , Lorenzo Berardi
Out and doubtful
- I. Hien Atalanta Out — Muscle Injury
- K. Sulemana Atalanta Out — Knee Injury
- O. Kossounou Atalanta Out — Thigh Injury
- A. Adorante Venezia Out — Hernia
- B. Franjić Venezia Out — Shoulder Injury
- G. Busio Venezia Out — Thigh Injury
- M. Šverko Venezia Out — Hip Injury
- A. Bella-Kotchap Venezia Out — Thigh Injury
- P. Mazzocchi Venezia Out — Calf Injury
- G. Raspadori Atalanta Doubtful — Thigh Injury
- M. Dagasso Venezia Doubtful — Inactive
- R. Haps Venezia Doubtful — Injury
- T. Bašić Venezia Doubtful — Foot Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Atalanta at home
6–2–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 0.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 3.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.3 per game
7% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Venezia away
2–4–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 3.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.6 per game
11% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Atalanta vs Venezia head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Atalanta v Venezia | 0–0 | |
| Venezia v Atalanta | 0–2 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 44% | 2.28 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 68% | 1.47 |
| Home clean sheet | 41% | 2.44 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 88% | 1.14 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 88% | 1.14 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 66% | 1.52 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 90% | 1.12 |
| Home/Away double chance | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 96% | 1.04 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 38% | 2.63 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 56% | 1.78 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 59% | 1.69 |
| Away clean sheet | 10% | 9.62 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 32% | 3.11 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 32% | 3.11 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 22% | 4.48 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 12% | 8.27 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 6% | 16.33 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 4% | 23.31 |