Sassuolo vs AC Milan match stats & report
1–1 Full time
Sassuolo drew with AC Milan 1–1 in Serie A on 11 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.28–1.23. AC Milan had 59% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Sassuolo 26%, the draw 26% and AC Milan 48%.
Sassuolo vs AC Milan match statistics
- 41% Ball possession 59%
- 1.28 Expected goals (xG) 1.23
- 10 Total shots 11
- 4 Shots on target 6
- 4 Shots off target 2
- 2 Blocked shots 3
- 4 Shots inside the box 10
- 3 Corners 5
- 13 Fouls 11
- 1 Offsides 0
- 1 Yellow cards 4
- 0 Red cards 0
- 442 Passes 628
- 5 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 41' Yellow card P. Estupiñán AC Milan
- 45+3' Yellow card K. De Winter AC Milan
- 63' Goal A. Rabiot (assist L. Modrić) AC Milan
- 68' Goal C. Odenthal Sassuolo
- 87' Yellow card Gonçalo Ramos AC Milan
- 90+1' Yellow card S. Pavlović AC Milan
- 90+4' Yellow card K. Thorstvedt Sassuolo
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 26%Sassuolo fair odds 3.89
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.81
- 48%AC Milan fair odds 2.08
Most likely score 1-1 (12.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.81 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.06 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 17% | 6.01 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 14.60 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20% | 4.95 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 58% | 1.72 |
| Both teams to score: No | 42% | 2.40 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.8
Sassuolo 4.6 · AC Milan 4.2
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 7.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 8.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 9.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 10.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 3.9
Sassuolo 1.9 · AC Milan 2.0
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 3.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 4.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 5.5 | 21% | 79% |
Expected shots on target: 8.8
Sassuolo 4.2 · AC Milan 4.6
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 7.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 8.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 9.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 10.5 | 28% | 72% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (373 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.4%
- 1–2 9.8%
- 0–1 8.2%
- 0–2 8.1%
- 0–0 6.9%
- 2–1 6.7%
- 2–2 5.6%
- 1–3 5.4%
Team news & lineups
Sassuolo
Bench S. Walukiewicz , C. Volpato , S. Turati , K. Thorstvedt , I. Sulemana , L. Skjellerup , G. Satalino , C. Odenthal , Rafael Obrador , L. Lipani , A. Ghion , B. Domínguez , S. Cinquegrano , Fali Candé , K. Bowie
AC Milan
Bench F. Camarda , L. P. Bouyer , D. Bartesaghi , L. Torriani , A. Cissè , F. Tomori , F. Terracciano , L. Modrić , R. Loftus-Cheek , A. Jashari , O. Hutchinson , S. Bocoum , K. De Winter , C. Comotto
Out and doubtful
- A. Saelemaekers AC Milan Out — Ankle Injury
- C. Volpato Sassuolo Out — Thigh Injury
- D. Boloca Sassuolo Out — Muscle Injury
- I. Koné Sassuolo Out — Broken Leg
- J. Idzes Sassuolo Out — Muscle Injury
- E. Pieragnolo Sassuolo Out — Knee Injury
- Y. Paz Sassuolo Out — Knee Injury
- P. Estupiñán AC Milan Doubtful — Knee Injury
- Fali Candé Sassuolo Doubtful — Knee Injury
- S. Walukiewicz Sassuolo Doubtful — Muscle Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Sassuolo at home
6–2–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 3.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.7 per game
26% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
AC Milan away
4–4–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 3.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
6% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Sassuolo vs AC Milan head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sassuolo v AC Milan | 2–0 | |
| AC Milan v Sassuolo | 2–2 | |
| Sassuolo v AC Milan | 3–3 | |
| AC Milan v Sassuolo | 1–0 | |
| AC Milan v Sassuolo | 2–5 | |
| Sassuolo v AC Milan | 0–0 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -0.5 handicap | 26% | 3.89 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 52% | 1.93 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 52% | 1.93 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 34% | 2.97 |
| Home clean sheet | 18% | 5.44 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 12% | 8.25 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.36 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 11% | 8.96 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 82% | 1.23 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 74% | 1.35 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 74% | 1.35 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 89% | 1.13 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 48% | 2.08 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 51% | 1.98 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 26% | 3.83 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 24% | 4.17 |
| Away clean sheet | 30% | 3.31 |