Lecce vs Bologna match stats & report
1–2 Full time
Lecce lost to Bologna 1–2 in Serie A on 11 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.01–1.55. Lecce had 57% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Lecce 25%, the draw 32% and Bologna 42%.
Lecce vs Bologna match statistics
- 57% Ball possession 43%
- 1.01 Expected goals (xG) 1.55
- 19 Total shots 10
- 5 Shots on target 5
- 8 Shots off target 4
- 6 Blocked shots 1
- 14 Shots inside the box 8
- 10 Corners 3
- 17 Fouls 8
- 1 Offsides 4
- 3 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 407 Passes 315
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 10' Yellow card I. Ilic Lecce
- 17' Goal R. Orsolini (assist N. Cambiaghi) Bologna
- 31' Yellow card Paco Esteban Lecce
- 44' Yellow card T. Heggem Bologna
- 45+2' Yellow card Y. Maleh Lecce
- 64' Goal A. Fatah (assist Danilo Veiga) Lecce
- 75' Goal J. Enem (assist N. Cambiaghi) Bologna
- 90+4' Yellow card O. El Azzouzi Bologna
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 25%Lecce fair odds 3.95
- 32%Draw fair odds 3.09
- 42%Bologna fair odds 2.36
Most likely score 1-1 (14.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% | 2.74 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | 5.82 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 7% | 14.76 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 13% | 7.55 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 35% | 2.87 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 63% | 1.58 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 93% | 1.07 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 44% | 2.25 |
| Both teams to score: No | 56% | 1.80 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.0
Lecce 4.8 · Bologna 4.2
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 8.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 9.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 10.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 11.5 | 21% | 79% |
Expected cards: 3.5
Lecce 1.8 · Bologna 1.7
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 3.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 4.5 | 27% | 73% |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 7.3
Lecce 3.1 · Bologna 4.2
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 6.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 7.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 8.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 9.5 | 21% | 79% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (373 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.8%
- 0–0 13.3%
- 0–1 12.9%
- 0–2 8.9%
- 1–0 8.7%
- 1–2 8.3%
- 2–1 5.9%
- 2–0 4.8%
Team news & lineups
Lecce
Bench A. Dembélé , O. Ngom , K. N’Dri , C. Ndaba , Joël Monteiro , M. Kaba , G. Jean , M. Bleve , A. Borbei , S. Fofana , O. Gandelman , Kialonda Gaspar , W. Geubbels , Olaf Gorter
Bologna
Bench M. Vitík , R. Alhassane , M. Amondarain , F. Bernardeschi , Ł. Skorupski , N. Moro , M. Libra , U. Happonen , E. Helland , J. Enem , O. El Azzouzi , A. Dovbyk , L. De Silvestri
Out and doubtful
- J. Odgaard Bologna Out — Thigh Injury
- N. Stulic Lecce Out — Muscle Injury
- E. Holm Bologna Out — Thigh Injury
- S. Mbangula Bologna Out — Injury
- M. Berisha Lecce Out — Lacking Match Fitness
- A. Dovbyk Bologna Doubtful — Muscle Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Lecce at home
4–2–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 3.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.7 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Bologna away
4–1–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.1 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 2.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.3 per game
18% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Lecce vs Bologna head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Bologna v Lecce | 2–0 | |
| Lecce v Bologna | 2–2 | |
| Lecce v Bologna | 0–0 | |
| Bologna v Lecce | 1–0 | |
| Bologna v Lecce | 4–0 | |
| Lecce v Bologna | 1–1 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home clean sheet | 29% | 3.48 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 58% | 1.73 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 58% | 1.73 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 81% | 1.24 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 25% | 3.95 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 75% | 1.34 |
| Away clean sheet | 40% | 2.49 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 75% | 1.34 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 91% | 1.10 |
| Home/Away double chance | 68% | 1.48 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 9% | 10.58 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 71% | 1.40 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 42% | 2.36 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 23% | 4.30 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 19% | 5.14 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 35% | 2.83 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 7% | 15.24 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 13% | 7.76 |