Lazio vs Monza match stats & report
3–1 Full time
Lazio beat Monza 3–1 in Serie A on 11 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.59–1.91. Lazio had 66% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Lazio 51%, the draw 27% and Monza 22%.
Lazio vs Monza match statistics
- 66% Ball possession 34%
- 1.59 Expected goals (xG) 1.91
- 17 Total shots 14
- 7 Shots on target 6
- 8 Shots off target 3
- 2 Blocked shots 5
- 8 Shots inside the box 10
- 7 Corners 6
- 10 Fouls 9
- 0 Offsides 2
- 3 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 1
- 596 Passes 299
- 5 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 3' Goal Nuno Tavares (assist T. Noslin) Lazio
- 13' Yellow card A. Carboni Monza
- 23' Goal G. Isaksen (assist T. Noslin) Lazio
- 35' Red card L. Lucchesi Monza
- 45+2' Yellow card D. Doekhi Lazio
- 46' Goal S. Goglichidze (assist D. Mota) Monza
- 55' Yellow card O. Provstgaard Lazio
- 68' Yellow card Diogo Leite Lazio
- 79' Yellow card Monza
- 88' Goal A. Pinamonti (assist Pedraza) Lazio
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 51%Lazio fair odds 1.97
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.69
- 22%Monza fair odds 4.52
Most likely score 1-1 (13.0%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.00 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.60 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 13% | 7.58 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 12.06 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24% | 4.17 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.00 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.38 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 53% | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score: No | 47% | 2.14 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.6
Lazio 4.6 · Monza 4.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 7.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 8.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 9.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 10.5 | 25% | 75% |
Expected cards: 4.1
Lazio 1.7 · Monza 2.4
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 4.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 5.5 | 24% | 76% |
| 6.5 | 13% | 87% |
Expected shots on target: 9.5
Lazio 4.8 · Monza 4.7
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 8.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 9.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 10.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 11.5 | 26% | 74% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (373 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.0%
- 1–0 10.2%
- 2–1 9.9%
- 2–0 9.4%
- 0–0 8.3%
- 1–2 5.9%
- 0–1 5.5%
- 3–1 5.3%
Team news & lineups
Lazio
Bench J. Sutalo , F. Serra , D. Renzetti , A. Przyborek , A. Pinamonti , Pedraza , E. Motta , Diogo Leite , M. Lazzari , V. Farcomeni , F. Dele-Bashiru , D. Cataldi
Monza
Bench L. Colombo , D. Thiam , A. Colpani , P. Cutrone , S. Goglichidze , Y. Maye , D. Mota , M. Mout , M. Ondoa , Jay Robinson , A. Strajnar , A. Bakoune , V. Antov
Out and doubtful
- A. Marušić Lazio Out — Muscle Injury
- L. Pellegrini Lazio Out — Inactive
- M. Pessina Monza Out — Knee Injury
- A. Furlanetto Lazio Out — Knee Injury
- A. Gudmundsson Lazio Out — Shoulder Injury
- M. Cancellieri Lazio Out — Leg Injury
- N. Rovella Lazio Out — Calf Injury
- Patric Lazio Out — Sprained Ankle
- I. Toure Monza Out — Contusion
- J. Ziółkowski Monza Out — Foot Injury
- O. Forson Monza Out — Inactive
- P. Ciurria Monza Out — Muscle Injury
- D. Cataldi Lazio Doubtful — Groin Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Lazio at home
6–3–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 3.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 4.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.7 per game
22% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Monza away
3–3–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 5.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.9 per game
50% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Lazio vs Monza head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Lazio v Monza | 5–1 | |
| Monza v Lazio | 0–1 | |
| Monza v Lazio | 2–2 | |
| Lazio v Monza | 1–1 | |
| Monza v Lazio | 0–2 | |
| Lazio v Monza | 1–0 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +0.5 handicap | 49% | 2.03 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 49% | 2.03 |
| Away clean sheet | 19% | 5.20 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 73% | 1.38 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 22% | 4.52 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 64% | 1.56 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 27% | 3.64 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 78% | 1.28 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 9% | 11.59 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 91% | 1.10 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 81% | 1.24 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 51% | 1.97 |
| Home clean sheet | 36% | 2.79 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 9% | 11.38 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 49% | 2.04 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 27% | 3.65 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 23% | 4.43 |