Genoa vs Fiorentina match stats & report
2–1 Full time
Genoa stats & fixtures · Fiorentina stats & fixtures
Genoa beat Fiorentina 2–1 in Serie A on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.41–0.96. Fiorentina had 63% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Genoa 32%, the draw 30% and Fiorentina 38%.
Genoa vs Fiorentina match statistics
- 37% Ball possession 63%
- 1.41 Expected goals (xG) 0.96
- 10 Total shots 12
- 4 Shots on target 3
- 5 Shots off target 5
- 1 Blocked shots 4
- 7 Shots inside the box 9
- 3 Corners 4
- 11 Fouls 10
- 2 Offsides 2
- 5 Yellow cards 3
- 0 Red cards 0
- 274 Passes 477
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 7' Goal M. Osmajić (assist M. Ellertsson) Genoa
- 15' Yellow card L. Ranieri Fiorentina
- 15' Goal Junior Messias (assist M. Osmajić) Genoa
- 21' Yellow card C. Inao Oulaï Fiorentina
- 60' Yellow card Viery Fiorentina
- 73' Own goal J. Vasquez Fiorentina
- 74' Yellow card H. J. Traore Genoa
- 84' Yellow card J. Vasquez Genoa
- 85' Yellow card S. Wiafe Genoa
- 90+1' Yellow card Vítinha Genoa
- 90+5' Yellow card S. Sabelli Genoa
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 32%Genoa fair odds 3.12
- 30%Draw fair odds 3.36
- 38%Fiorentina fair odds 2.62
Most likely score 1-1 (14.2%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.17 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 4.08 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 11% | 9.02 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 10% | 10.39 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27% | 3.73 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.85 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 1.32 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 89% | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 53% | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score: No | 47% | 2.11 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 8.8
Genoa 4.4 · Fiorentina 4.4
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 7.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 8.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 9.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 10.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 4.4
Genoa 1.7 · Fiorentina 2.6
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 80% | 20% |
| 3.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 4.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 5.5 | 28% | 72% |
| 6.5 | 16% | 84% |
Expected shots on target: 8.5
Genoa 4.7 · Fiorentina 3.8
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 7.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 8.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 9.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 10.5 | 25% | 75% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (370 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.2%
- 0–0 9.6%
- 0–1 9.1%
- 1–2 8.5%
- 1–0 8.0%
- 2–1 7.6%
- 0–2 7.1%
- 2–0 5.8%
Team news & lineups
Genoa
Bench C. Drameh , T. Baldanzi , Gaël Lafont , A. Marcandalli , M. Mitaj , D. Puczka , Nikita Solodchenko , S. Sabelli , D. Sommariva , F. Stolz , Vítinha , S. Wiafe , Lukas Klišys
Fiorentina
Bench Viery , Pote , M. Pongračić , Mateo Pellegrino , A. Njie , L. Lezzerini , João Mário , Dodô , O. Christensen , M. Brescianini , B. Mazzeo
Out and doubtful
- F. Parisi Fiorentina Out — Knee Injury
- Amorim Genoa Out — Ankle Injury
- A. Atta Fiorentina Out — Abdominal strain
- R. Sottil Fiorentina Out — Back Injury
- D. Sow Genoa Out — Injury
- E. Havel Genoa Out — Ankle Injury
- F. Meichtry Genoa Out — Muscle Injury
- L. Colombo Genoa Out — Ankle Injury
- L. Venturino Genoa Out — Knee Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Genoa at home
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.1 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- 4.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.3 per game
18% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Fiorentina away
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 2.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 3.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.9 per game
15% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Genoa vs Fiorentina head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina v Genoa | 0–0 | |
| Genoa v Fiorentina | 2–2 | |
| Fiorentina v Genoa | 2–1 | |
| Genoa v Fiorentina | 0–1 | |
| Fiorentina v Genoa | 1–1 | |
| Genoa v Fiorentina | 1–4 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -0.5 handicap | 32% | 3.12 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 14% | 7.07 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 34% | 2.98 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 62% | 1.62 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 62% | 1.62 |
| Home clean sheet | 27% | 3.75 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 70% | 1.44 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 12% | 8.35 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 82% | 1.22 |
| Home/Away double chance | 70% | 1.42 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 86% | 1.16 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 73% | 1.36 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 68% | 1.47 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 68% | 1.47 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 38% | 2.62 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 38% | 2.62 |
| Away clean sheet | 30% | 3.30 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 15% | 6.78 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 18% | 5.56 |