SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV prediction & stats

Bundesliga · Germany · Regular Season - 7 · Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn

SC Paderborn 07 stats & fixtures · Hamburger SV stats & fixtures

SC Paderborn 07 take on Hamburger SV in the Bundesliga on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes SC Paderborn 07 favourites at 46%, with the draw at 27%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 13.1%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 56%.

SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (13.1%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals92%1.08
Over 1.5 goals78%1.29
Over 2.5 goals52%1.92
Over 3.5 goals30%3.37
Over 4.5 goals14%6.90
Under 0.5 goals8%12.90
Under 1.5 goals22%4.46
Under 2.5 goals48%2.08
Under 3.5 goals70%1.42
Under 4.5 goals86%1.17
Both teams to score: Yes56%1.78
Both teams to score: No44%2.29

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 10.2

SC Paderborn 07 6.1 · Hamburger SV 4.0

Total cornersOverUnder
8.567%33%
9.555%45%
10.544%56%
11.533%67%
12.524%76%

Expected cards: 4.0

SC Paderborn 07 2.2 · Hamburger SV 1.8

Total cardsOverUnder
1.590%10%
2.575%25%
3.555%45%
4.536%64%
5.521%79%

Expected shots on target: 9.6

SC Paderborn 07 4.5 · Hamburger SV 5.2

Total shots on targetOverUnder
7.573%27%
8.561%39%
9.549%51%
10.538%62%
11.527%73%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (304 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 13.1%
  2. 2–1 9.6%
  3. 1–0 8.7%
  4. 2–0 8.0%
  5. 0–0 7.8%
  6. 1–2 6.9%
  7. 0–1 6.0%
  8. 2–2 5.4%

Team news & lineups

SC Paderborn 07

Probable — not confirmed

Hamburger SV

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

SC Paderborn 07 at home

3–1–2 in 6 matches

Scored
1.7 per game
Conceded
1.3 per game
Clean sheets
0 / 6
Corners
9.3 per game
Shots on target
6.0 per game

0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.

Hamburger SV away

4–1–5 in 10 matches

Scored
1.4 per game
Conceded
2.3 per game
Clean sheets
0 / 10
Corners
3.3 per game
Shots on target
4.1 per game

21% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home +1.5 handicap 88% 1.13
Home Over 0.5 team goals 79% 1.26
Away +1.5 handicap 76% 1.31
Home +0.5 handicap 73% 1.37
Home/Draw double chance 73% 1.37
Home/Away double chance 73% 1.38
Away Over 0.5 team goals 69% 1.45
Away +0.5 handicap 54% 1.84
Draw/Away double chance 54% 1.84
Home Over 1.5 team goals 47% 2.14
Home -0.5 handicap 46% 2.20
Away Over 1.5 team goals 33% 3.03
Home clean sheet 31% 3.24
Away -0.5 handicap 27% 3.70
Home -1.5 handicap 24% 4.20
Home Over 2.5 team goals 21% 4.77
Away clean sheet 21% 4.84
Away -1.5 handicap 12% 8.55
Away Over 2.5 team goals 12% 8.58