RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg prediction & stats

Bundesliga · Germany · Regular Season - 7 · Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

RB Leipzig stats & fixtures · SV Elversberg stats & fixtures

RB Leipzig take on SV Elversberg in the Bundesliga on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes RB Leipzig favourites at 66%, with the draw at 18%. The likeliest score is 2–1, at 9.4%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams scoring at 69%.

RB Leipzig vs SV Elversberg prediction

Most likely score 2-1 (9.4%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals97%1.03
Over 1.5 goals91%1.09
Over 2.5 goals76%1.31
Over 3.5 goals56%1.79
Over 4.5 goals37%2.73
Under 0.5 goals3%39.22
Under 1.5 goals9%11.76
Under 2.5 goals24%4.18
Under 3.5 goals44%2.27
Under 4.5 goals63%1.58
Both teams to score: Yes69%1.44
Both teams to score: No31%3.26

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 10.7

RB Leipzig 7.1 · SV Elversberg 3.7

Total cornersOverUnder
8.572%28%
9.561%39%
10.550%50%
11.539%61%
12.529%71%

Expected cards: 3.3

RB Leipzig 1.5 · SV Elversberg 1.8

Total cardsOverUnder
1.584%16%
2.564%36%
3.542%58%
4.525%75%
5.513%87%

Expected shots on target: 11.4

RB Leipzig 7.4 · SV Elversberg 4.0

Total shots on targetOverUnder
9.568%32%
10.558%42%
11.547%53%
12.537%63%
13.527%73%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (304 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 2–1 9.4%
  2. 3–1 8.0%
  3. 1–1 7.0%
  4. 2–0 6.8%
  5. 3–0 5.8%
  6. 3–2 5.5%
  7. 2–2 5.4%
  8. 4–1 5.1%

Team news & lineups

RB Leipzig

Probable — not confirmed

SV Elversberg

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

RB Leipzig at home

10–0–0 in 10 matches

Scored
3.1 per game
Conceded
0.2 per game
Clean sheets
8 / 10
Corners
5.9 per game
Shots on target
8.5 per game

13% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

SV Elversberg away

5–3–2 in 10 matches

Scored
2.3 per game
Conceded
1.3 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
3.7 per game
Shots on target
4.3 per game

38% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home Over 0.5 team goals 93% 1.07
Home +1.5 handicap 93% 1.08
Home/Draw double chance 84% 1.19
Home +0.5 handicap 84% 1.19
Home/Away double chance 82% 1.21
Home Over 1.5 team goals 75% 1.34
Away Over 0.5 team goals 74% 1.36
Home -0.5 handicap 66% 1.51
Away +1.5 handicap 55% 1.82
Home Over 2.5 team goals 49% 2.02
Home -1.5 handicap 45% 2.22
Away Over 1.5 team goals 38% 2.62
Away +0.5 handicap 34% 2.96
Draw/Away double chance 34% 2.96
Home clean sheet 26% 3.79
Away -0.5 handicap 16% 6.19
Away Over 2.5 team goals 15% 6.70
Away -1.5 handicap 7% 14.22
Away clean sheet 7% 14.52