FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen prediction & stats
FSV Mainz 05 stats & fixtures · Werder Bremen stats & fixtures
FSV Mainz 05 take on Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes FSV Mainz 05 favourites at 57%, with the draw at 23%. The likeliest score is 2–1, at 10.3%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 62%.
FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen prediction
- 57%FSV Mainz 05 fair odds 1.75
- 23%Draw fair odds 4.44
- 20%Werder Bremen fair odds 4.90
Most likely score 2-1 (10.3%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.57 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% | 2.43 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 23% | 4.31 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 20.78 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15% | 6.66 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.75 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 59% | 1.70 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 62% | 1.60 |
| Both teams to score: No | 38% | 2.66 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.1
FSV Mainz 05 6.1 · Werder Bremen 4.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 9.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 10.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 11.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 12.5 | 23% | 77% |
Expected cards: 3.9
FSV Mainz 05 1.7 · Werder Bremen 2.2
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 4.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% |
Expected shots on target: 10.3
FSV Mainz 05 6.0 · Werder Bremen 4.3
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 9.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 10.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 11.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 12.5 | 25% | 75% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (304 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–1 10.3%
- 1–1 10.2%
- 2–0 8.3%
- 1–0 6.9%
- 3–1 6.9%
- 2–2 5.7%
- 1–2 5.6%
- 3–0 5.5%
Team news & lineups
FSV Mainz 05
- 9 P. Tietz Attacker
- 23 S. Becker Attacker
- 19 A. Caci Midfielder
- 4 S. Posch Defender
- 2 P. Mwene Midfielder
- 6 K. Sano Midfielder
- 10 N. Amiri Midfielder
- 48 K. Potulski Defender
- 1 A. Schwolow Goalkeeper
- 7 Lee Jae-Sung Midfielder
- 3 F. Gruber Defender
Form guide
FSV Mainz 05 at home
5–1–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 6.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
27% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Werder Bremen away
4–3–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.1 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 3.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.4 per game
26% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen v FSV Mainz 05 | 0–2 | |
| FSV Mainz 05 v Werder Bremen | 1–1 | |
| Werder Bremen v FSV Mainz 05 | 1–0 | |
| FSV Mainz 05 v Werder Bremen | 1–2 | |
| FSV Mainz 05 v Werder Bremen | 0–1 | |
| Werder Bremen v FSV Mainz 05 | 4–0 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 91% | 1.10 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 80% | 1.26 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 80% | 1.26 |
| Home/Away double chance | 77% | 1.29 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 65% | 1.53 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 62% | 1.62 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 57% | 1.75 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 43% | 2.33 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 43% | 2.33 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 35% | 2.89 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 34% | 2.93 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 34% | 2.95 |
| Home clean sheet | 30% | 3.34 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 20% | 4.90 |
| Away clean sheet | 12% | 8.01 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 12% | 8.18 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 9% | 11.47 |