Bayern München vs RB Leipzig match stats & report

6–1 Full time

Bundesliga · Germany · Regular Season - 6 · Allianz Arena, Munich · Ref Tobias Stieler

Bayern München stats & fixtures · RB Leipzig stats & fixtures

Bayern München beat RB Leipzig 6–1 in the Bundesliga on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 3.84–0.90. Bayern München had 62% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Bayern München 76%, the draw 13% and RB Leipzig 11%.

Bayern München vs RB Leipzig match statistics

Bayern MünchenRB Leipzig

62% Ball possession 38%
3.84 Expected goals (xG) 0.90
29 Total shots 12
17 Shots on target 4
3 Shots off target 3
9 Blocked shots 5
17 Shots inside the box 7
11 Corners 3
15 Fouls 6
4 Offsides 2
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
666 Passes 412
3 Goalkeeper saves 11

Goals and cards

12' Goal L. Díaz (assist J. Kimmich) Bayern München
26' Goal A. Pavlović (assist L. Díaz) Bayern München
34' Goal M. Olise (assist H. Kane) Bayern München
47' Goal L. Díaz (assist H. Kane) Bayern München
51' Yellow card K. Laimer Bayern München
52' Goal H. Kane (assist N. Brown) Bayern München
69' Goal L. Díaz (assist M. Olise) Bayern München
90+1' Goal A. MaksimoviÄ‡ (assist B. Gruda) RB Leipzig

The Ghost's pre-match prediction

76%Bayern München fair odds 1.31
13%Draw fair odds 7.79
11%RB Leipzig fair odds 9.15

Most likely score 3-1 (8.1%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

Market	Ghost	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	99%	1.01
Over 1.5 goals	95%	1.05
Over 2.5 goals	85%	1.18
Over 3.5 goals	69%	1.46
Over 4.5 goals	50%	1.99
Under 0.5 goals	1%	76.28
Under 1.5 goals	5%	21.35
Under 2.5 goals	15%	6.63
Under 3.5 goals	31%	3.19
Under 4.5 goals	50%	2.01
Both teams to score: Yes	73%	1.37
Both teams to score: No	27%	3.68

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 10.3

Bayern München 7.2 · RB Leipzig 3.1

Total corners	Over	Under
8.5	68%	32%
9.5	57%	43%
10.5	45%	55%
11.5	34%	66%
12.5	25%	75%

Expected cards: 3.3

Bayern München 1.5 · RB Leipzig 1.8

Total cards	Over	Under
1.5	84%	16%
2.5	64%	36%
3.5	43%	57%
4.5	25%	75%
5.5	13%	87%

Expected shots on target: 11.9

Bayern München 8.2 · RB Leipzig 3.6

Total shots on target	Over	Under
9.5	72%	28%
10.5	62%	38%
11.5	51%	49%
12.5	41%	59%
13.5	31%	69%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (299 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

3–1 8.1%
2–1 7.6%
4–1 6.5%
3–2 5.8%
3–0 5.7%
2–0 5.3%
4–2 4.6%
4–0 4.5%

Team news & lineups

Bayern München

Confirmed 4-2-3-1 V. Kompany

40 J. Urbig

11 N. Brown 3 Kim Min-Jae 2 D. Upamecano 27 K. Laimer

45 A. Pavlović 6 J. Kimmich

14 L. Díaz 34 I. Saibari 17 M. Olise

9 H. Kane

Bench S. Boey , J. Stanišić , A. Davies , L. Karl , J. Tah , S. Ulreich , H. Ito , S. Gnabry , T. Bischof

RB Leipzig

Confirmed 4-5-1 M. Demichelis

26 M. Vandevoordt

22 D. Raum 23 C. Lukeba 4 W. Orbán 16 L. Klostermann

7 A. Nusa 6 E. Banzuzi 21 N. El Aynaoui 20 R. Reitz 10 B. Gruda

28 C. Nkunku

Bench M. Estève , Max Finkgräfe , B. Henrichs , A. MaksimoviÄ‡ , O. Nyland , Romulo Cardoso , N. Seiwald , R. Baku , T. Gomis

Out and doubtful

J. Musiala Bayern München Out — Muscle Injury
M. Neuer Bayern München Out — Foot Injury
A. Ouedraogo RB Leipzig Out — Shoulder Injury
C. Baumgartner RB Leipzig Out — Thigh Injury
T. Buchmann Bayern München Out — Knee Injury
M. Guiu RB Leipzig Out — Hamstring Injury

Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.

Form guide

Bayern München at home

8–2–0 in 10 matches

Scored: 4.1 per game
Conceded: 1.1 per game
Clean sheets: 2 / 10
Corners: 8.1 per game
Shots on target: 10.3 per game

24% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

RB Leipzig away

1–0–9 in 10 matches

Scored: 0.9 per game
Conceded: 3.2 per game
Clean sheets: 0 / 10
Corners: 4.3 per game
Shots on target: 4.5 per game

33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Bayern München vs RB Leipzig head-to-head

Date	Match	Score
15 Aug 26	Bayern München v RB Leipzig	3–1
17 Jan 26	RB Leipzig v Bayern München	1–5
22 Aug 25	Bayern München v RB Leipzig	6–0
3 May 25	RB Leipzig v Bayern München	3–3
20 Dec 24	Bayern München v RB Leipzig	5–1
24 Feb 24	Bayern München v RB Leipzig	2–1

The full Bayern München vs RB Leipzig head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market	Ghost	Fair odds
Away +1.5 handicap	43%	2.34
Draw/Away double chance	24%	4.21
Away Over 2.5 team goals	16%	6.32
Away Over 1.5 team goals	40%	2.51
Away +0.5 handicap	24%	4.21
Away Over 0.5 team goals	75%	1.34
Home Over 0.5 team goals	97%	1.04
Home +1.5 handicap	95%	1.05
Home Over 1.5 team goals	85%	1.17
Home/Away double chance	87%	1.15
Home/Draw double chance	89%	1.12
Home Over 2.5 team goals	65%	1.54
Home -0.5 handicap	76%	1.31
Home -1.5 handicap	57%	1.74
Home clean sheet	25%	3.98
Away clean sheet	3%	29.47
Away -1.5 handicap	5%	21.63
Home +0.5 handicap	89%	1.12
Away -0.5 handicap	11%	9.15