SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg match stats & report
4–3 Full time
SV Elversberg stats & fixtures · FC Augsburg stats & fixtures
SV Elversberg beat FC Augsburg 4–3 in the Bundesliga on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.89–3.37. FC Augsburg had 60% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave SV Elversberg 50%, the draw 25% and FC Augsburg 26%.
SV Elversberg vs FC Augsburg match statistics
- 40% Ball possession 60%
- 2.89 Expected goals (xG) 3.37
- 19 Total shots 29
- 8 Shots on target 8
- 4 Shots off target 9
- 7 Blocked shots 12
- 17 Shots inside the box 26
- 4 Corners 12
- 16 Fouls 14
- 3 Offsides 2
- 4 Yellow cards 3
- 0 Red cards 0
- 320 Passes 461
- 5 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 4' Penalty missed L. Petkov SV Elversberg
- 4' Goal L. Petkov SV Elversberg
- 7' Goal L. Günther (assist M. Krattenmacher) SV Elversberg
- 28' Goal M. Rohr (assist F. Keidel) SV Elversberg
- 30' Yellow card H. Massengo FC Augsburg
- 30' Yellow card Rodrigo Ribeiro FC Augsburg
- 45+9' Penalty scored F. Rieder FC Augsburg
- 52' Yellow card C. Matsima FC Augsburg
- 54' Yellow card F. Keidel SV Elversberg
- 75' Yellow card L. Pinckert SV Elversberg
- 76' Penalty scored M. Gregoritsch FC Augsburg
- 84' Yellow card N. Kristof SV Elversberg
- 89' Goal F. Schmahl (assist L. Petkov) SV Elversberg
- 90' Goal M. Kömür (assist Hennes Behrens) FC Augsburg
- 90+6' Yellow card F. Schmahl SV Elversberg
- 90+8' Penalty missed N. Futkeu SV Elversberg
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 50%SV Elversberg fair odds 2.01
- 25%Draw fair odds 4.07
- 26%FC Augsburg fair odds 3.89
Most likely score 1-1 (11.3%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.64 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.61 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 21% | 4.77 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 18.29 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17% | 6.04 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.57 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.62 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 62% | 1.60 |
| Both teams to score: No | 38% | 2.66 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.6
SV Elversberg 6.0 · FC Augsburg 4.5
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 9.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 10.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 11.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 12.5 | 28% | 72% |
Expected cards: 3.7
SV Elversberg 1.7 · FC Augsburg 2.0
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 5.5 | 18% | 82% |
Expected shots on target: 10.2
SV Elversberg 5.8 · FC Augsburg 4.4
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 67% | 33% |
| 9.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 10.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 11.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 12.5 | 24% | 76% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (299 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.3%
- 2–1 9.9%
- 2–0 7.5%
- 1–0 6.8%
- 1–2 6.6%
- 2–2 6.0%
- 3–1 6.0%
- 0–0 5.5%
Team news & lineups
SV Elversberg
Bench R. Adam , T. Boss , A. Condé , N. Futkeu , F. Le Joncour , N. Mickelson , F. Schmahl , L. Schnellbacher , L. Sirch
FC Augsburg
Bench A. Kade , Y. Keitel , M. Kömür , N. Labrović , U. Ogundu , T. Schnitzer , Seol Young-Woo , J. Gouweleeuw , M. Gregoritsch
Out and doubtful
- A. Claude-Maurice FC Augsburg Out — Muscle Injury
- N. Banks FC Augsburg Out — Knee Injury
- C. Campbell SV Elversberg Out — Ankle Injury
- S. Mounie FC Augsburg Out — Injury
- S. Suso FC Augsburg Out — Inactive
- F. Onyeka SV Elversberg Out — Foot Injury
- L. Seifert SV Elversberg Out — Ankle Injury
- Abdulay Bah FC Augsburg Doubtful — Calf Injury
- T. Breithaupt FC Augsburg Doubtful — Toe Injury
- J. Gyamerah SV Elversberg Doubtful — Groin Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
SV Elversberg at home
3–0–1 in 4 matches
- Scored
- 3.0 per game
- Conceded
- 2.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 4
- Corners
- 3.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
Based on 4 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
FC Augsburg away
4–1–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 3.0 per game
- Conceded
- 2.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 4.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.8 per game
23% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home clean sheet | 27% | 3.66 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 28% | 3.55 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 50% | 2.01 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 28% | 3.55 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 88% | 1.13 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 55% | 1.81 |
| Home/Away double chance | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 73% | 1.38 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 72% | 1.39 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 50% | 1.99 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 50% | 1.99 |
| Away clean sheet | 16% | 6.36 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 37% | 2.69 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 26% | 3.89 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 12% | 8.62 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 14% | 6.97 |