Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 match stats & report
2–2 Full time
Werder Bremen stats & fixtures · SC Paderborn 07 stats & fixtures
Werder Bremen drew with SC Paderborn 07 2–2 in the Bundesliga on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.87–1.01. Werder Bremen had 61% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Werder Bremen 45%, the draw 29% and SC Paderborn 07 26%.
Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 match statistics
- 61% Ball possession 39%
- 2.87 Expected goals (xG) 1.01
- 18 Total shots 11
- 11 Shots on target 4
- 4 Shots off target 5
- 3 Blocked shots 2
- 13 Shots inside the box 9
- 5 Corners 3
- 11 Fouls 14
- 1 Offsides 0
- 1 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 626 Passes 399
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 9
Goals and cards
- 4' Yellow card S. Marino SC Paderborn 07
- 18' Goal S. Marino (assist S. Tigges) SC Paderborn 07
- 30' Goal S. Tigges SC Paderborn 07
- 59' Goal N. Füllkrug (assist E. Dinkçi) Werder Bremen
- 65' Penalty scored N. Füllkrug Werder Bremen
- 86' Yellow card Y. Regeer Werder Bremen
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 45%Werder Bremen fair odds 2.22
- 29%Draw fair odds 3.41
- 26%SC Paderborn 07 fair odds 3.92
Most likely score 1-1 (14.0%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.22 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.22 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 11% | 9.46 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 10% | 10.10 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 28% | 3.62 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.82 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 89% | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 51% | 1.97 |
| Both teams to score: No | 49% | 2.03 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.1
Werder Bremen 5.9 · SC Paderborn 07 4.2
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 9.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 10.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 11.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 12.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 3.6
Werder Bremen 1.8 · SC Paderborn 07 1.9
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 4.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 5.5 | 17% | 83% |
Expected shots on target: 9.4
Werder Bremen 6.1 · SC Paderborn 07 3.4
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 8.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 9.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 10.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 11.5 | 25% | 75% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (299 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.0%
- 1–0 10.7%
- 0–0 9.9%
- 2–1 9.3%
- 2–0 8.8%
- 0–1 7.0%
- 1–2 6.4%
- 2–2 4.6%
Team news & lineups
Werder Bremen
Bench P. Erevbenagie , C. Itten , A. Schlager , Mick Schmetgens , D. Soylu , Dariusz Stalmach , N. Stark , M. Weiser , O. Wojcik
SC Paderborn 07
Bench R. Philippe , M. Pieringer , M. Schubert , Jonah Benedict Sticker , D. Zeitler , Ruben Müller , S. Michel , C. Lippmann , T. Baack
Out and doubtful
- S. Klaas SC Paderborn 07 Out — Muscle Injury
- J. Njinmah Werder Bremen Out — Thigh Injury
- S. Lynen Werder Bremen Out — Hip Injury
- L. Eickel SC Paderborn 07 Out — Back Injury
- M. Hoffmeier SC Paderborn 07 Out — Muscle Injury
- N. Awortwie-Grant SC Paderborn 07 Out — Knee Injury
- T. Gayret SC Paderborn 07 Out — Knee Injury
- F. Agu Werder Bremen Out — Calf Injury
- J. Stage Werder Bremen Out — Muscle Injury
- K. Topp Werder Bremen Out — Knee Injury
- M. N'Diaye Werder Bremen Out — Groin Injury
- S. Alvero Werder Bremen Out — Calf Injury
- S. Musah Werder Bremen Out — Muscle Injury
- L. Curda SC Paderborn 07 Doubtful — Hand Injury
- A. Pieper Werder Bremen Doubtful — Back Injury
- Y. Regeer Werder Bremen Doubtful — Back Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Werder Bremen at home
5–2–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 4.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 7.7 per game
31% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
SC Paderborn 07 away
2–4–1 in 7 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 7
- Corners
- 2.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 1.3 per game
Based on 7 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Werder Bremen v SC Paderborn 07 | 2–2 |
Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
The full Werder Bremen vs SC Paderborn 07 head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away clean sheet | 24% | 4.24 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 55% | 1.82 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 55% | 1.82 |
| Home clean sheet | 35% | 2.82 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 77% | 1.29 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 26% | 3.92 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 90% | 1.11 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 74% | 1.34 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 74% | 1.34 |
| Home/Away double chance | 71% | 1.42 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 10% | 9.73 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 65% | 1.55 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 45% | 2.22 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 28% | 3.60 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 23% | 4.43 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 42% | 2.36 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 9% | 11.36 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 18% | 5.71 |