SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart match stats & report
0–2 Full time
SC Paderborn 07 stats & fixtures · VfB Stuttgart stats & fixtures
SC Paderborn 07 lost to VfB Stuttgart 0–2 in the Bundesliga on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.91–2.45. SC Paderborn 07 had 51% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave SC Paderborn 07 28%, the draw 27% and VfB Stuttgart 45%.
SC Paderborn 07 vs VfB Stuttgart match statistics
- 51% Ball possession 49%
- 1.91 Expected goals (xG) 2.45
- 24 Total shots 18
- 6 Shots on target 8
- 10 Shots off target 5
- 8 Blocked shots 5
- 16 Shots inside the box 16
- 7 Corners 5
- 10 Fouls 11
- 1 Offsides 1
- 1 Yellow cards 0
- 0 Red cards 0
- 490 Passes 457
- 5 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 25' Goal J. Chabot (assist A. Stiller) VfB Stuttgart
- 45' Yellow card M. Pieringer SC Paderborn 07
- 83' Goal C. Fuhrich (assist A. Stiller) VfB Stuttgart
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 28%SC Paderborn 07 fair odds 3.58
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.68
- 45%VfB Stuttgart fair odds 2.23
Most likely score 1-1 (12.9%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.87 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.24 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 15% | 6.52 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 13.51 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22% | 4.65 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.14 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 57% | 1.74 |
| Both teams to score: No | 43% | 2.35 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.0
SC Paderborn 07 4.5 · VfB Stuttgart 5.5
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 9.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 10.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 11.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 12.5 | 22% | 78% |
Expected cards: 3.8
SC Paderborn 07 1.9 · VfB Stuttgart 1.9
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 4.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 5.5 | 19% | 81% |
Expected shots on target: 9.7
SC Paderborn 07 3.7 · VfB Stuttgart 6.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 8.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 9.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 10.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 11.5 | 28% | 72% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (290 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.9%
- 1–2 9.5%
- 0–1 8.3%
- 0–2 7.7%
- 0–0 7.4%
- 2–1 7.1%
- 1–0 5.9%
- 2–2 5.5%
Team news & lineups
SC Paderborn 07
Bench T. Baack , O. Batista Meier , F. Gotze , S. Michel , Ruben Müller , R. Philippe , M. Schubert , Jonah Benedict Sticker , S. Tigges
VfB Stuttgart
Bench D. Pejčinović , G. Prömel , L. Sauer , Y. Spalt , L. Stergiou , Finn Jeltsch , B. El Khannouss , F. Bredlow , L. Assignon
Out and doubtful
- S. Klaas SC Paderborn 07 Out — Muscle Injury
- D. Zagadou VfB Stuttgart Out — Muscle Injury
- T. Tomas VfB Stuttgart Out — Muscle Injury
- L. Eickel SC Paderborn 07 Out — Back Injury
- M. Hoffmeier SC Paderborn 07 Out — Muscle Injury
- N. Awortwie-Grant SC Paderborn 07 Out — Knee Injury
- T. Gayret SC Paderborn 07 Out — Knee Injury
- A. Al Dakhil VfB Stuttgart Out — Knee Injury
- J. Diehl VfB Stuttgart Out — Muscle Injury
- N. Nartey VfB Stuttgart Out — Muscle Injury
- L. Jaquez VfB Stuttgart Doubtful — Muscle Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
SC Paderborn 07 at home
3–1–2 in 6 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 6
- Corners
- 9.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.0 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Based on 6 matches — treat these numbers lightly.
VfB Stuttgart away
5–1–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 6.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.2 per game
21% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home clean sheet | 20% | 4.90 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 55% | 1.81 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 55% | 1.81 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 28% | 3.58 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 76% | 1.31 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 12% | 8.11 |
| Away clean sheet | 30% | 3.38 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 70% | 1.42 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 88% | 1.14 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 72% | 1.39 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 34% | 2.90 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 72% | 1.39 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 80% | 1.26 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 13% | 7.96 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 45% | 2.23 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 47% | 2.12 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 24% | 4.25 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 21% | 4.70 |