FC Augsburg vs Bayern München match stats & report
2–2 Full time
FC Augsburg stats & fixtures · Bayern München stats & fixtures
FC Augsburg drew with Bayern München 2–2 in the Bundesliga on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.45–5.08. Bayern München had 70% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave FC Augsburg 12%, the draw 14% and Bayern München 74%.
FC Augsburg vs Bayern München match statistics
- 30% Ball possession 70%
- 2.45 Expected goals (xG) 5.08
- 12 Total shots 29
- 5 Shots on target 10
- 4 Shots off target 11
- 3 Blocked shots 8
- 10 Shots inside the box 16
- 5 Corners 9
- 10 Fouls 6
- 1 Offsides 4
- 3 Yellow cards 0
- 0 Red cards 0
- 286 Passes 648
- 8 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 1' Goal R. Fellhauer FC Augsburg
- 42' Yellow card C. Matsima FC Augsburg
- 43' Yellow card Rodrigo Ribeiro FC Augsburg
- 55' Goal I. Saibari (assist H. Kane) Bayern München
- 62' Yellow card Hennes Behrens FC Augsburg
- 64' Goal Rodrigo Ribeiro FC Augsburg
- 80' Goal N. Brown (assist H. Kane) Bayern München
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 12%FC Augsburg fair odds 8.26
- 14%Draw fair odds 6.99
- 74%Bayern München fair odds 1.36
Most likely score 1-2 (8.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 98% | 1.02 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 94% | 1.06 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 64% | 1.57 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 2% | 58.46 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 6% | 16.66 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 18% | 5.47 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 36% | 2.76 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 55% | 1.81 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 71% | 1.41 |
| Both teams to score: No | 29% | 3.44 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.3
FC Augsburg 3.8 · Bayern München 6.5
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 9.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 10.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 11.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 12.5 | 25% | 75% |
Expected cards: 3.6
FC Augsburg 2.0 · Bayern München 1.7
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 4.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 5.5 | 17% | 83% |
Expected shots on target: 11.1
FC Augsburg 4.0 · Bayern München 7.1
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 10.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 11.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 12.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 13.5 | 24% | 76% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (290 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–2 8.4%
- 1–3 8.3%
- 1–4 6.2%
- 0–2 6.1%
- 0–3 6.0%
- 2–3 5.7%
- 1–1 5.2%
- 2–2 4.7%
Team news & lineups
FC Augsburg
Bench T. Schnitzer , S. Suso , J. Gouweleeuw , M. Gregoritsch , A. Kade , Y. Keitel , M. Kömür , N. Labrović , U. Ogundu
Bayern München
Bench S. Boey , N. Brown , S. Gnabry , H. Ito , L. Karl , Kim Min-Jae , Bara Ndiaye , J. Urbig , T. Bischof
Out and doubtful
- J. Musiala Bayern München Out — Muscle Injury
- N. Banks FC Augsburg Out — Knee Injury
- T. Buchmann Bayern München Out — Knee Injury
- S. Mounie FC Augsburg Out — Injury
- S. Suso FC Augsburg Out — Muscle Injury
- T. Breithaupt FC Augsburg Out — Toe Injury
- A. Kade FC Augsburg Doubtful — Calf Injury
- U. Ogundu FC Augsburg Doubtful — Abdominal strain
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
FC Augsburg at home
3–6–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.1 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 5.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 7.3 per game
21% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Bayern München away
5–3–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 8.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 7.4 per game
22% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
FC Augsburg vs Bayern München head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern München v FC Augsburg | 1–2 | |
| FC Augsburg v Bayern München | 2–3 | |
| FC Augsburg v Bayern München | 1–3 | |
| Bayern München v FC Augsburg | 3–0 | |
| FC Augsburg v Bayern München | 2–3 | |
| Bayern München v FC Augsburg | 3–1 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home/Draw double chance | 26% | 3.79 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 46% | 2.16 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 26% | 3.79 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 15% | 6.81 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 38% | 2.63 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 74% | 1.36 |
| Home clean sheet | 4% | 22.85 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 96% | 1.05 |
| Home/Away double chance | 86% | 1.17 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 88% | 1.14 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 82% | 1.22 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 74% | 1.36 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 54% | 1.86 |
| Away clean sheet | 26% | 3.78 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 95% | 1.05 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 88% | 1.14 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 12% | 8.26 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 5% | 19.60 |