1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV match stats & report
2–3 Full time
1899 Hoffenheim stats & fixtures · Hamburger SV stats & fixtures
1899 Hoffenheim lost to Hamburger SV 2–3 in the Bundesliga on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.09–1.27. 1899 Hoffenheim had 64% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave 1899 Hoffenheim 65%, the draw 20% and Hamburger SV 15%.
1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV match statistics
- 64% Ball possession 36%
- 1.09 Expected goals (xG) 1.27
- 17 Total shots 15
- 4 Shots on target 4
- 5 Shots off target 7
- 8 Blocked shots 4
- 10 Shots inside the box 10
- 7 Corners 3
- 11 Fouls 15
- 3 Offsides 2
- 1 Yellow cards 0
- 1 Red cards 0
- 544 Passes 305
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 12' Goal Y. Poulsen Hamburger SV
- 45+6' Own goal S. Bornauw 1899 Hoffenheim
- 53' Goal B. Conté (assist F. Asllani) 1899 Hoffenheim
- 55' Yellow card Bernardo 1899 Hoffenheim
- 65' Red card Bernardo 1899 Hoffenheim
- 80' Yellow card L. Avdullahu 1899 Hoffenheim
- 83' Goal T. Moffi (assist M. Muheim) Hamburger SV
- 90+4' Goal M. Muheim Hamburger SV
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 65%1899 Hoffenheim fair odds 1.54
- 20%Draw fair odds 5.02
- 15%Hamburger SV fair odds 6.54
Most likely score 2-1 (10.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 96% | 1.04 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% | 1.16 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 2.26 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 26% | 3.88 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 4% | 24.15 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 13% | 7.42 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33% | 2.99 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 61% | 1.63 |
| Both teams to score: No | 39% | 2.59 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.4
1899 Hoffenheim 7.0 · Hamburger SV 3.4
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 9.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 10.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 11.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 12.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected cards: 4.5
1899 Hoffenheim 2.5 · Hamburger SV 2.0
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 4.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 5.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 6.5 | 17% | 83% |
Expected shots on target: 10.1
1899 Hoffenheim 6.3 · Hamburger SV 3.8
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 9.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 10.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 11.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 12.5 | 23% | 77% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (290 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–1 10.4%
- 2–0 9.0%
- 1–1 9.0%
- 3–1 7.7%
- 1–0 6.9%
- 3–0 6.7%
- 2–2 5.1%
- 3–2 4.4%
Team news & lineups
1899 Hoffenheim
Bench Nathan De Cat , V. Gendrey , A. Hložek , R. Hranáč , A. Kramarić , Max Moerstedt , L. Philipp , A. Prass , M. Rots
Hamburger SV
Bench Otto Emerson Stange , S. Tangvik , J. Torunarigha , I. Pherai , S. Nandja , M. Muheim , A. Rossing-Lelesiit , T. Moffi , K. Amoako
Out and doubtful
- A. Hajdari 1899 Hoffenheim Out — Foot Injury
- Bernardo 1899 Hoffenheim Out — Achilles Tendon Injury
- A. Rossing-Lelesiit Hamburger SV Out — Ankle Injury
- A. Gronbaek Hamburger SV Out — Thigh Injury
- M. Vuskovic Hamburger SV Out — Doping
- P. Daka Hamburger SV Out — Thigh Injury
- Z. El Ouahdi Hamburger SV Out — Illness
- T. Moffi Hamburger SV Doubtful — Knee Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
1899 Hoffenheim at home
5–1–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.1 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 6.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.4 per game
15% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Hamburger SV away
4–1–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 2.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- 3.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.1 per game
21% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Hamburger SV v 1899 Hoffenheim | 1–2 | |
| 1899 Hoffenheim v Hamburger SV | 4–1 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
The full 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +0.5 handicap | 35% | 2.84 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 15% | 6.54 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 58% | 1.72 |
| Away clean sheet | 10% | 10.44 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 35% | 2.84 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 10.02 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 30% | 3.33 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 67% | 1.50 |
| Home/Away double chance | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 85% | 1.18 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 94% | 1.07 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 65% | 1.54 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 85% | 1.18 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 68% | 1.47 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 42% | 2.38 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 41% | 2.45 |
| Home clean sheet | 33% | 3.01 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 6% | 16.36 |