FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen match stats & report
3–4 Full time
FSV Mainz 05 stats & fixtures · Bayer Leverkusen stats & fixtures
FSV Mainz 05 lost to Bayer Leverkusen 3–4 in the Bundesliga on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.91–1.68. Bayer Leverkusen had 53% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave FSV Mainz 05 35%, the draw 24% and Bayer Leverkusen 41%.
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen match statistics
- 47% Ball possession 53%
- 2.91 Expected goals (xG) 1.68
- 23 Total shots 16
- 5 Shots on target 7
- 11 Shots off target 6
- 7 Blocked shots 3
- 17 Shots inside the box 12
- 4 Corners 3
- 11 Fouls 10
- 0 Offsides 1
- 3 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 442 Passes 508
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 5' Goal R. Andrich Bayer Leverkusen
- 9' Goal P. Schick (assist Aleix García) Bayer Leverkusen
- 20' Yellow card P. Tietz FSV Mainz 05
- 33' Goal A. Caci FSV Mainz 05
- 35' Yellow card S. Becker FSV Mainz 05
- 42' Goal A. Caci (assist N. Amiri) FSV Mainz 05
- 55' Goal J. Quansah Bayer Leverkusen
- 65' Goal M. Diaby (assist Afonso Moreira) Bayer Leverkusen
- 76' Yellow card Lee Jae-Sung FSV Mainz 05
- 90+2' Goal B. Hollerbach FSV Mainz 05
- 90+3' Yellow card J. Quansah Bayer Leverkusen
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 35%FSV Mainz 05 fair odds 2.83
- 24%Draw fair odds 4.17
- 41%Bayer Leverkusen fair odds 2.46
Most likely score 1-1 (10.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 96% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% | 1.15 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.50 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 2.25 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 26% | 3.85 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 4% | 22.94 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 13% | 7.53 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33% | 2.99 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56% | 1.80 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 68% | 1.47 |
| Both teams to score: No | 32% | 3.11 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.0
FSV Mainz 05 4.7 · Bayer Leverkusen 5.2
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 8.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 9.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 10.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 11.5 | 31% | 69% |
Expected cards: 4.2
FSV Mainz 05 2.2 · Bayer Leverkusen 2.0
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 4.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 5.5 | 26% | 74% |
| 6.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 10.4
FSV Mainz 05 5.4 · Bayer Leverkusen 5.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 9.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 10.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 11.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 12.5 | 26% | 74% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (290 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 10.4%
- 1–2 8.6%
- 2–1 8.0%
- 2–2 6.7%
- 0–2 5.2%
- 1–3 5.1%
- 0–1 4.7%
- 2–0 4.5%
Team news & lineups
FSV Mainz 05
Bench S. Bell , D. da Costa , B. Hollerbach , S. Kawasaki , M. Kinzig , R. Königsdörffer , Lee Jae-Sung , L. Maloney , R. Nakuzola
Bayer Leverkusen
Bench M. Tillman , M. Terrier , N. Tella , Lucas Vázquez , J. Hofmann , E. Fernández , V. Boniface , J. Blaswich , L. Badé
Out and doubtful
- D. Kohr FSV Mainz 05 Out — Foot Injury
- P. Nebel FSV Mainz 05 Out — Muscle Injury
- R. Zentner FSV Mainz 05 Out — Hand Injury
- S. Widmer FSV Mainz 05 Out — Knee Injury
- C. Kofane Bayer Leverkusen Out — Muscle Injury
- G. Doue Bayer Leverkusen Out — Calf Injury
- K. Eichhorn Bayer Leverkusen Out — Illness
- M. Culbreath Bayer Leverkusen Out — Foot Injury
- O. Ruoppi FSV Mainz 05 Out — Knee Injury
- Silas FSV Mainz 05 Out — Broken shinbone
- A. Caci FSV Mainz 05 Doubtful — Face Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
FSV Mainz 05 at home
5–1–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 6.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
27% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Bayer Leverkusen away
6–1–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 6.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.7 per game
21% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen v FSV Mainz 05 | 1–1 | |
| FSV Mainz 05 v Bayer Leverkusen | 3–4 | |
| FSV Mainz 05 v Bayer Leverkusen | 2–2 | |
| Bayer Leverkusen v FSV Mainz 05 | 1–0 | |
| Bayer Leverkusen v FSV Mainz 05 | 2–1 | |
| FSV Mainz 05 v Bayer Leverkusen | 0–3 |
The full FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -0.5 handicap | 35% | 2.83 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 23% | 4.36 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 18% | 5.49 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 49% | 2.04 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 59% | 1.69 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 59% | 1.69 |
| Home clean sheet | 17% | 5.85 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 81% | 1.24 |
| Home/Away double chance | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 78% | 1.28 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 53% | 1.89 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 65% | 1.55 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 65% | 1.55 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 82% | 1.22 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 41% | 2.46 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 26% | 3.81 |
| Away clean sheet | 19% | 5.16 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 22% | 4.54 |