Lyon vs Nice prediction & stats
Lyon take on Nice in Ligue 1 on 18 October 2026. The Ghost makes Lyon favourites at 58%, with the draw at 24%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 11.4%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 55%.
Lyon vs Nice prediction
- 58%Lyon fair odds 1.72
- 24%Draw fair odds 4.16
- 18%Nice fair odds 5.64
Most likely score 1-1 (11.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.04 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 17% | 5.96 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 15.09 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20% | 4.96 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.25 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 55% | 1.81 |
| Both teams to score: No | 45% | 2.23 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.7
Lyon 6.4 · Nice 4.3
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 9.5 | 61% | 39% |
| 10.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 11.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 12.5 | 29% | 71% |
Expected cards: 4.0
Lyon 1.7 · Nice 2.2
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 4.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 5.5 | 21% | 79% |
Expected shots on target: 9.4
Lyon 6.0 · Nice 3.4
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 8.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 9.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 10.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 11.5 | 25% | 75% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (301 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.4%
- 2–1 10.5%
- 2–0 10.1%
- 1–0 9.5%
- 0–0 6.6%
- 3–1 6.4%
- 3–0 6.2%
- 1–2 5.0%
Team news & lineups
Lyon
- 23 T. Morton Midfielder
- 16 Abner Vinicius Defender
- 7 E. Nuamah Midfielder
- 8 C. Tolisso Midfielder
- 13 Z. Athekame Defender
- 1 D. Greif Goalkeeper
- 20 F. Bacher Defender
- 21 R. Kluivert Defender
- 10 P. Sulc Midfielder
- 2 M. Bidstrup Midfielder
- 11 K. Nakamura Attacker
Nice
- 35 X. Mandza Tsiendi Defender
- 55 Y. Ndayishimiye Defender
- 39 D. Coulibaly Midfielder
- 23 Y. Diouf Goalkeeper
- 92 J. Clauss Midfielder
- 28 A. Witsel Midfielder
- 5 Mohamed Abdelmonem Defender
- 7 G. Hein Attacker
- 11 E. Wahi Attacker
- 27 N. Nkounkou Midfielder
- 9 M. Amoura Attacker
Out and doubtful
- M. Ouedraogo Lyon Out — Knee Injury
- N. Tagliafico Lyon Out — Knee Injury
- M. Sanson Nice Out — Knee Injury
- L. Openda Lyon Out — Leg Injury
- A. Mendy Nice Out — Knee Injury
- L. Abergel Nice Out — Knee Injury
- M. Bombito Nice Out — Leg Injury
- C. Tolisso Lyon Doubtful — Injury
- A. Abdi Nice Doubtful — Muscle Injury
- D. Coulibaly Nice Doubtful — Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Lyon at home
7–1–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 7.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.6 per game
25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Nice away
1–4–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 4.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.9 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Lyon vs Nice head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Lyon v Nice | 2–0 | |
| Nice v Lyon | 3–2 | |
| Nice v Lyon | 0–2 | |
| Lyon v Nice | 4–1 | |
| Lyon v Nice | 1–0 | |
| Nice v Lyon | 0–0 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 34% | 2.91 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 58% | 1.72 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 30% | 3.38 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 82% | 1.22 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 82% | 1.22 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 57% | 1.75 |
| Home clean sheet | 37% | 2.71 |
| Home/Away double chance | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 85% | 1.17 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 93% | 1.07 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 63% | 1.58 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 66% | 1.52 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 42% | 2.39 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 42% | 2.39 |
| Away clean sheet | 15% | 6.85 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 26% | 3.81 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 18% | 5.64 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 8% | 12.48 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 7% | 14.63 |