Le Havre vs Auxerre prediction & stats

Ligue 1 · France · Regular Season - 7 · Stade Océane, Le Havre · Ref Eric Wattellier

Le Havre stats & fixtures · Auxerre stats & fixtures

Le Havre take on Auxerre in Ligue 1 on 18 October 2026. The Ghost makes Le Havre favourites at 42%, with the draw at 29%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 14.1%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 52%.

Le Havre vs Auxerre prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (14.1%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals90%1.11
Over 1.5 goals73%1.37
Over 2.5 goals46%2.17
Over 3.5 goals25%4.07
Over 4.5 goals11%8.98
Under 0.5 goals10%10.45
Under 1.5 goals27%3.74
Under 2.5 goals54%1.86
Under 3.5 goals75%1.33
Under 4.5 goals89%1.13
Both teams to score: Yes52%1.91
Both teams to score: No48%2.10

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 10.1

Le Havre 5.4 · Auxerre 4.7

Total cornersOverUnder
8.566%34%
9.555%45%
10.543%57%
11.533%67%
12.523%77%

Expected cards: 3.8

Le Havre 2.1 · Auxerre 1.7

Total cardsOverUnder
1.589%11%
2.572%28%
3.552%48%
4.534%66%
5.519%81%

Expected shots on target: 8.9

Le Havre 5.2 · Auxerre 3.7

Total shots on targetOverUnder
6.576%24%
7.564%36%
8.552%48%
9.540%60%
10.529%71%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (301 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 14.1%
  2. 1–0 9.8%
  3. 0–0 9.6%
  4. 2–1 9.0%
  5. 2–0 7.9%
  6. 0–1 7.4%
  7. 1–2 7.0%
  8. 0–2 5.1%

Team news & lineups

Le Havre

No lineup published yet.

Auxerre

No lineup published yet.

Out and doubtful

  • A. Diousse Auxerre Out — Knee Injury
  • B. Okoh Auxerre Out — Knee Injury
  • A. Seko Le Havre Out — Red Card
  • A. Toure Le Havre Out — Knee Injury
  • L. Mpasi-Nzau Le Havre Out — Achilles Tendon Injury
  • S. Zagadou Le Havre Out — Knee Injury
  • R. Labeau Lascary Auxerre Out — Injury
  • S. Fofana Auxerre Out — Groin Injury
  • E. Jelert Le Havre Out — Thigh Injury
  • F. Mambimbi Le Havre Out — Achilles Tendon Injury
  • T. Pembele Le Havre Out — Muscle Injury
  • C. Akpa Auxerre Doubtful — Injury
  • M. Senaya Auxerre Doubtful — Hamstring Injury
  • R. Mandengue Auxerre Doubtful — Muscle Injury
  • T. Siwe Auxerre Doubtful — Muscle Injury
  • R. Fofana Le Havre Doubtful — Inactive

Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.

Form guide

Le Havre at home

2–4–4 in 10 matches

Scored
1.6 per game
Conceded
1.4 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Corners
5.0 per game
Shots on target
4.0 per game

12% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Auxerre away

2–3–5 in 10 matches

Scored
1.3 per game
Conceded
2.0 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 10
Corners
4.0 per game
Shots on target
3.8 per game

17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Le Havre vs Auxerre head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Le Havre v Auxerre 1–1
Auxerre v Le Havre 0–1
Auxerre v Le Havre 1–2
Le Havre v Auxerre 3–1

Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full Le Havre vs Auxerre head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home clean sheet 33% 3.07
Home/Draw double chance 71% 1.40
Away clean sheet 25% 4.05
Home +0.5 handicap 71% 1.40
Home +1.5 handicap 88% 1.14
Away +0.5 handicap 58% 1.72
Home -0.5 handicap 42% 2.38
Away +1.5 handicap 79% 1.26
Home/Away double chance 71% 1.42
Draw/Away double chance 58% 1.72
Home -1.5 handicap 21% 4.87
Home Over 0.5 team goals 75% 1.33
Away -0.5 handicap 29% 3.50
Home Over 1.5 team goals 41% 2.45
Away Over 0.5 team goals 67% 1.48
Away Over 1.5 team goals 31% 3.24
Home Over 2.5 team goals 17% 6.05
Away -1.5 handicap 12% 8.27
Away Over 2.5 team goals 10% 9.56