Lille vs Stade Brestois 29 match stats & report
1–1 Full time
Lille stats & fixtures · Stade Brestois 29 stats & fixtures
Lille drew with Stade Brestois 29 1–1 in Ligue 1 on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.91–0.82. Lille had 67% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Lille 48%, the draw 27% and Stade Brestois 29 24%.
Lille vs Stade Brestois 29 match statistics
- 67% Ball possession 33%
- 1.91 Expected goals (xG) 0.82
- 17 Total shots 8
- 6 Shots on target 2
- 8 Shots off target 3
- 3 Blocked shots 3
- 10 Shots inside the box 6
- 5 Corners 2
- 11 Fouls 20
- 3 Offsides 0
- 1 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 647 Passes 319
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 5
Goals and cards
- 6' Goal M. Balde (assist G. Lloris) Stade Brestois 29
- 13' Yellow card K. Doumbia Stade Brestois 29
- 58' Yellow card B. Locko Stade Brestois 29
- 64' Penalty scored O. Giroud Lille
- 90' Yellow card C. Verdonk Lille
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 48%Lille fair odds 2.07
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.66
- 24%Stade Brestois 29 fair odds 4.12
Most likely score 1-1 (13.0%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.97 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 3.50 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 14% | 7.27 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 12.41 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 23% | 4.29 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.03 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 71% | 1.40 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 55% | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score: No | 45% | 2.21 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.9
Lille 6.4 · Stade Brestois 29 3.4
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 8.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 9.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 10.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 11.5 | 30% | 70% |
Expected cards: 3.8
Lille 2.0 · Stade Brestois 29 1.8
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 4.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 5.5 | 19% | 81% |
Expected shots on target: 8.7
Lille 5.7 · Stade Brestois 29 3.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 7.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 8.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 9.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 10.5 | 27% | 73% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (299 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.0%
- 2–1 9.8%
- 1–0 9.5%
- 2–0 8.8%
- 0–0 8.1%
- 1–2 6.4%
- 0–1 5.7%
- 3–1 5.1%
Team news & lineups
Lille
Bench S. Diaoune , I. Cossier , N. Bentaleb , M. Kjærgaard , Zadig Lanssade, G. Perrin , C. Verdonk , Matah Yondjio, B. Önal
Stade Brestois 29
Bench Ibrahim Yayiya Kante , M. Diambou , J. Bourgault , Enzo Monchatre, L. Zogbe , M. Patouillet , J. Nonge Boende , D. N´Guessan
Out and doubtful
- H. Igamane Lille Out — Knee Injury
- T. Santos Lille Out — Knee Injury
- B. Chardonnet Stade Brestois 29 Out — Calf Injury
- R. Le Guen Stade Brestois 29 Out — Broken Leg
- A. Ueda Lille Out — Foot Injury
- G. Versini Stade Brestois 29 Out — Leg Injury
- N. Edjouma Stade Brestois 29 Out — Loan agreement
- M. Balde Stade Brestois 29 Doubtful — Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Lille at home
4–4–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 4.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.3 per game
25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Stade Brestois 29 away
2–3–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- 3.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.4 per game
11% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Lille vs Stade Brestois 29 head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Lille v Stade Brestois 29 | 1–1 | |
| Stade Brestois 29 v Lille | 3–3 | |
| Stade Brestois 29 v Lille | 2–0 | |
| Lille v Stade Brestois 29 | 3–1 | |
| Stade Brestois 29 v Lille | 1–1 | |
| Lille v Stade Brestois 29 | 1–0 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +0.5 handicap | 52% | 1.94 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 52% | 1.94 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home clean sheet | 34% | 2.98 |
| Away clean sheet | 20% | 5.03 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 48% | 2.07 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 26% | 3.88 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.38 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 90% | 1.11 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 66% | 1.50 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 24% | 4.12 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 48% | 2.08 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 30% | 3.35 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 10% | 9.97 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 22% | 4.58 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 10.08 |