Le Mans vs Toulouse match stats & report
0–3 Full time
Le Mans lost to Toulouse 0–3 in Ligue 1 on 16 October 2026. Expected goals finished 0.93–1.83. Le Mans had 53% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Le Mans 38%, the draw 26% and Toulouse 36%.
Le Mans vs Toulouse match statistics
- 53% Ball possession 47%
- 0.93 Expected goals (xG) 1.83
- 11 Total shots 13
- 1 Shots on target 5
- 6 Shots off target 7
- 4 Blocked shots 1
- 7 Shots inside the box 9
- 2 Corners 2
- 15 Fouls 9
- 0 Offsides 3
- 2 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 566 Passes 529
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 46' Goal J. Russell-Rowe (assist A. Donnum) Toulouse
- 49' Yellow card J. Russell-Rowe Toulouse
- 59' Goal A. Donnum Toulouse
- 87' Goal C. Tengstedt (assist C. Cásseres) Toulouse
- 90' Yellow card S. Yohou Le Mans
- 90+4' Yellow card D. Sidibe Le Mans
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 38%Le Mans fair odds 2.62
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.90
- 36%Toulouse fair odds 2.76
Most likely score 1-1 (11.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | 1.65 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 21% | 4.83 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 17.84 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17% | 5.98 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 39% | 2.54 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 79% | 1.26 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 64% | 1.57 |
| Both teams to score: No | 36% | 2.75 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.8
Le Mans 4.8 · Toulouse 5.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 8.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 9.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 10.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 11.5 | 29% | 71% |
Expected cards: 4.0
Le Mans 1.9 · Toulouse 2.1
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 4.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 5.5 | 22% | 78% |
| 6.5 | 12% | 88% |
Expected shots on target: 9.6
Le Mans 5.2 · Toulouse 4.3
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 8.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 9.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 10.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 11.5 | 27% | 73% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (298 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.7%
- 2–1 8.6%
- 1–2 8.4%
- 2–2 6.3%
- 1–0 5.7%
- 0–0 5.6%
- 2–0 5.6%
- 0–1 5.5%
Team news & lineups
Le Mans
Bench N. Boissé , R. Bamba , B. Brahimi , L. Calodat , H. Diallo , W. Harhouz , E. Hatfout , A. Lauray , A. Rabillard
Toulouse
Bench A. Vossah , M. Amougou , T. Collin , I. Diallo , S. Hidalgo , S. Koumbassa , D. Odogu , N. Schmidt , J. Vignolo
Out and doubtful
- E. Colas Le Mans Out — Injury
- E. Quarshie Le Mans Out — Coach's decision
- M. Rossignol Le Mans Out — Injury
- T. Eyoum Le Mans Out — Coach's decision
- J. Vignolo Toulouse Out — Inactive
- A. Bourabaa Le Mans Out — Ankle Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Le Mans at home
3–4–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 2.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Toulouse away
3–3–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.9 per game
- Conceded
- 1.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 3.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.1 per game
16% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 20% | 5.10 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 38% | 2.62 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 21% | 4.68 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 47% | 2.12 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 64% | 1.57 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 64% | 1.57 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 79% | 1.26 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 82% | 1.22 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.34 |
| Home clean sheet | 21% | 4.66 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 80% | 1.24 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 46% | 2.19 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 62% | 1.62 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 62% | 1.62 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 36% | 2.76 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 20% | 4.94 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 18% | 5.48 |
| Away clean sheet | 21% | 4.87 |