Estac Troyes vs Marseille match stats & report
0–2 Full time
Estac Troyes stats & fixtures · Marseille stats & fixtures
Estac Troyes lost to Marseille 0–2 in Ligue 1 on 11 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.21–0.53. Marseille had 63% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Estac Troyes 28%, the draw 24% and Marseille 48%.
Estac Troyes vs Marseille match statistics
- 37% Ball possession 63%
- 1.21 Expected goals (xG) 0.53
- 15 Total shots 5
- 3 Shots on target 2
- 8 Shots off target 0
- 4 Blocked shots 3
- 13 Shots inside the box 5
- 6 Corners 3
- 14 Fouls 15
- 2 Offsides 2
- 4 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 349 Passes 640
- 0 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 22' Yellow card L. Maronnier Estac Troyes
- 45' Yellow card A. Gomes Marseille
- 50' Goal A. Harit (assist Emerson) Marseille
- 58' Yellow card D. Karim Estac Troyes
- 88' Yellow card A. Mille Estac Troyes
- 90+6' Yellow card P. Beach Estac Troyes
- 90+8' Penalty scored H. Abdelli Marseille
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 28%Estac Troyes fair odds 3.56
- 24%Draw fair odds 4.19
- 48%Marseille fair odds 2.08
Most likely score 1-1 (10.6%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.36 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 24% | 4.14 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 21.29 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14% | 6.97 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 35% | 2.84 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 66% | 1.52 |
| Both teams to score: No | 34% | 2.91 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.6
Estac Troyes 5.9 · Marseille 3.7
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 8.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 9.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 10.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 11.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 3.7
Estac Troyes 1.6 · Marseille 2.1
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 87% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 31% | 69% |
| 5.5 | 17% | 83% |
Expected shots on target: 9.8
Estac Troyes 3.8 · Marseille 6.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 8.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 9.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 10.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 11.5 | 29% | 71% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (295 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 10.6%
- 1–2 9.6%
- 2–1 6.9%
- 0–2 6.6%
- 2–2 6.3%
- 1–3 5.9%
- 0–1 5.8%
- 0–0 4.7%
Team news & lineups
Estac Troyes
Bench M. Ifnaoui , Noah Donkor , C. Batola , H. Konaté , T. Nkada , A. Phliponeau , H. Picard , R. Ripart , Lassana Simakha
Marseille
Bench T. Vermot , U. Garcia , K. Abdallah , G. Kondogbia , B. Meité , A. Koum Mbondo , N. Maupay , T. Nnadi , F. Moumbagna
Out and doubtful
- A. Ouzenadji Estac Troyes Out — Knee Injury
- I. Boura Estac Troyes Out — Hip Injury
- Y. Titi Estac Troyes Out — Leg Injury
- P. Hojbjerg Marseille Out — Muscle Injury
- Y. Kone Estac Troyes Out — Knee Injury
- D. Cornelius Marseille Out — Hip Injury
- T. Weah Marseille Out — Red Card
- M. Ifnaoui Estac Troyes Doubtful — Calf Injury
- P. Gozzi Estac Troyes Doubtful — Muscle Injury
- A. Gouiri Marseille Doubtful — Thigh Injury
- G. Kondogbia Marseille Doubtful — Thigh Injury
- T. Nnadi Marseille Doubtful — Knee Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Estac Troyes at home
5–2–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.0 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 6.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.4 per game
27% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Marseille away
3–0–7 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 4.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.1 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Estac Troyes vs Marseille head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Marseille v Estac Troyes | 3–1 | |
| Estac Troyes v Marseille | 0–2 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 29% | 3.39 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 42% | 2.39 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 57% | 1.77 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 17% | 5.73 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 27% | 3.66 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 48% | 2.08 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 73% | 1.38 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Home/Away double chance | 76% | 1.31 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 28% | 3.56 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 72% | 1.39 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 72% | 1.39 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 52% | 1.92 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 87% | 1.15 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 52% | 1.92 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 13% | 7.51 |
| Home clean sheet | 15% | 6.65 |
| Away clean sheet | 24% | 4.16 |