Lorient vs Paris FC match stats & report
1–0 Full time
Lorient beat Paris FC 1–0 in Ligue 1 on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 0.53–0.71. Paris FC had 60% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Lorient 34%, the draw 30% and Paris FC 36%.
Lorient vs Paris FC match statistics
- 40% Ball possession 60%
- 0.53 Expected goals (xG) 0.71
- 8 Total shots 16
- 5 Shots on target 3
- 3 Shots off target 3
- 0 Blocked shots 10
- 6 Shots inside the box 8
- 3 Corners 9
- 9 Fouls 13
- 0 Offsides 3
- 1 Yellow cards 5
- 0 Red cards 0
- 467 Passes 691
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 3
Goals and cards
- 52' Yellow card L. Sinayoko Paris FC
- 58' Yellow card S. Chergui Paris FC
- 58' Yellow card H. Traoré Paris FC
- 68' Goal G. Bernardeau (assist J. Makengo) Lorient
- 70' Yellow card M. Talbi Lorient
- 74' Yellow card E. Zabi Paris FC
- 90+2' Yellow card M. Lopez Paris FC
- 90+6' Yellow card Lorient
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 34%Lorient fair odds 2.91
- 30%Draw fair odds 3.32
- 36%Paris FC fair odds 2.82
Most likely score 1-1 (14.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 1.38 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.22 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.23 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 11% | 9.50 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 10% | 10.00 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 28% | 3.62 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.82 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 89% | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 52% | 1.93 |
| Both teams to score: No | 48% | 2.08 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.6
Lorient 5.0 · Paris FC 4.6
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 72% | 28% |
| 8.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 9.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 10.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 11.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 3.5
Lorient 1.1 · Paris FC 2.4
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 3.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 4.5 | 29% | 71% |
| 5.5 | 15% | 85% |
Expected shots on target: 7.6
Lorient 4.0 · Paris FC 3.6
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 6.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 7.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 8.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 9.5 | 25% | 75% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (290 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 14.4%
- 0–0 10.0%
- 0–1 8.9%
- 1–0 8.7%
- 1–2 8.1%
- 2–1 7.9%
- 0–2 6.6%
- 2–0 6.4%
Team news & lineups
Lorient
Bench A. Avom , I. Baldé , G. Bernardeau , S. Faye , S. Haribou, B. Kamara , S. Kuzmić , T. Le Bris , N. Obaretin
Paris FC
Bench O. Sissoko , R. Matondo , O. Nkambadio , M. Mbow , E. Mbemba , J. Krasso , T. De Smet , Otavio , E. Zabi
Out and doubtful
- P. Katseris Lorient Out — Hamstring Injury
- B. Fadiga Lorient Out — Ankle Injury
- N. Mbamba Lorient Out — Muscle Injury
- M. Simon Paris FC Out — Illness
- N. Sangui Paris FC Out — Muscle Injury
- V. Marchetti Paris FC Out — Inactive
- E. Mbemba Paris FC Doubtful — Leg Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Lorient at home
5–2–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.7 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 3.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.0 per game
0% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Paris FC away
2–4–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 4.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.0 per game
15% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Lorient vs Paris FC head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Lorient v Paris FC | 1–1 | |
| Paris FC v Lorient | 2–0 | |
| Paris FC v Lorient | 3–2 | |
| Lorient v Paris FC | 2–0 |
Only 4 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 15% | 6.49 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 34% | 2.91 |
| Home clean sheet | 29% | 3.48 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 64% | 1.55 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 64% | 1.55 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 13% | 7.93 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 35% | 2.89 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 71% | 1.42 |
| Home/Away double chance | 70% | 1.43 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 85% | 1.18 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 66% | 1.52 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 66% | 1.52 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 71% | 1.40 |
| Away clean sheet | 29% | 3.40 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 36% | 2.82 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 36% | 2.82 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 16% | 6.20 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 13% | 7.62 |