Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans match stats & report

3–1 Full time

Ligue 1 · France · Regular Season - 6 · Parc des Princes, Paris · Ref Mathieu Vernice

Paris Saint Germain stats & fixtures · Le Mans stats & fixtures

Paris Saint Germain beat Le Mans 3–1 in Ligue 1 on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 4.18–1.61. Paris Saint Germain had 72% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Paris Saint Germain 71%, the draw 17% and Le Mans 12%.

Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans match statistics

Paris Saint GermainLe Mans

Goals and cards

  1. 19' Penalty scored Beraldo Paris Saint Germain
  2. 47' Yellow card D. Guèye Le Mans
  3. 54' Goal L. Mafouta (assist L. Calodat) Le Mans
  4. 61' Goal K. Kvaratskhelia Paris Saint Germain
  5. 65' Yellow card L. Mafouta Le Mans
  6. 68' Goal M. Akliouche (assist W. Zaïre-Emery) Paris Saint Germain
  7. 90+2' Yellow card R. Bamba Le Mans
  8. 90+2' Yellow card B. Brahimi Le Mans
  9. 90+3' Penalty missed D. Doué Paris Saint Germain
  10. 90+3' Yellow card N. Boissé Le Mans

The Ghost's pre-match prediction

Most likely score 2-1 (10.1%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals97%1.04
Over 1.5 goals88%1.13
Over 2.5 goals70%1.43
Over 3.5 goals48%2.09
Over 4.5 goals29%3.45
Under 0.5 goals3%28.99
Under 1.5 goals12%8.49
Under 2.5 goals30%3.30
Under 3.5 goals52%1.92
Under 4.5 goals71%1.41
Both teams to score: Yes60%1.65
Both teams to score: No40%2.53

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 10.1

Paris Saint Germain 7.7 · Le Mans 2.4

Total cornersOverUnder
8.566%34%
9.554%46%
10.543%57%
11.532%68%
12.523%77%

Expected cards: 3.4

Paris Saint Germain 1.6 · Le Mans 1.8

Total cardsOverUnder
1.585%15%
2.566%34%
3.544%56%
4.526%74%
5.514%86%

Expected shots on target: 10.8

Paris Saint Germain 7.5 · Le Mans 3.3

Total shots on targetOverUnder
8.573%27%
9.562%38%
10.551%49%
11.540%60%
12.530%70%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (290 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 2–1 10.1%
  2. 2–0 9.4%
  3. 3–1 8.3%
  4. 3–0 7.7%
  5. 1–1 7.7%
  6. 1–0 6.6%
  7. 4–1 5.1%
  8. 4–0 4.8%

Team news & lineups

Out and doubtful

  • E. Colas Le Mans Out — Injury
  • E. Quarshie Le Mans Out — Coach's decision
  • M. Rossignol Le Mans Out — Injury
  • T. Eyoum Le Mans Out — Coach's decision
  • N. Mendes Paris Saint Germain Out — Rest
  • O. Dembele Paris Saint Germain Out — Rest
  • S. Mayulu Paris Saint Germain Out — Muscle Injury
  • A. Bourabaa Le Mans Out — Ankle Injury
  • D. Sidibe Le Mans Out — Yellow Cards
  • A. Longoni Paris Saint Germain Out — Injury
  • L. Buades Le Mans Doubtful — Knock
  • Ferran Torres Paris Saint Germain Doubtful — Ankle Injury
  • W. Zaïre-Emery Paris Saint Germain Doubtful — Thigh Injury

Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.

Form guide

Paris Saint Germain at home

5–3–2 in 10 matches

Scored
2.4 per game
Conceded
1.4 per game
Clean sheets
2 / 10
Corners
8.3 per game
Shots on target
7.2 per game

12% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Le Mans away

3–4–3 in 10 matches

Scored
1.5 per game
Conceded
1.5 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
4.7 per game
Shots on target
4.4 per game

23% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away Over 1.5 team goals 27% 3.67
Draw/Away double chance 29% 3.48
Away +0.5 handicap 29% 3.48
Away Over 2.5 team goals 8% 11.82
Away +1.5 handicap 51% 1.96
Away clean sheet 7% 13.68
Away Over 0.5 team goals 64% 1.55
Home Over 0.5 team goals 93% 1.08
Home/Draw double chance 88% 1.13
Home/Away double chance 83% 1.21
Home Over 1.5 team goals 73% 1.36
Home -0.5 handicap 71% 1.40
Home Over 2.5 team goals 47% 2.12
Home -1.5 handicap 49% 2.04
Home clean sheet 36% 2.80
Home +1.5 handicap 96% 1.05
Home +0.5 handicap 88% 1.13
Away -0.5 handicap 12% 8.67
Away -1.5 handicap 4% 22.91