Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans match stats & report
3–1 Full time
Paris Saint Germain stats & fixtures · Le Mans stats & fixtures
Paris Saint Germain beat Le Mans 3–1 in Ligue 1 on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 4.18–1.61. Paris Saint Germain had 72% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Paris Saint Germain 71%, the draw 17% and Le Mans 12%.
Paris Saint Germain vs Le Mans match statistics
- 72% Ball possession 28%
- 4.18 Expected goals (xG) 1.61
- 22 Total shots 11
- 8 Shots on target 3
- 8 Shots off target 7
- 6 Blocked shots 1
- 13 Shots inside the box 7
- 4 Corners 4
- 3 Fouls 17
- 1 Offsides 5
- 0 Yellow cards 5
- 0 Red cards 0
- 708 Passes 256
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 5
Goals and cards
- 19' Penalty scored Beraldo Paris Saint Germain
- 47' Yellow card D. Guèye Le Mans
- 54' Goal L. Mafouta (assist L. Calodat) Le Mans
- 61' Goal K. Kvaratskhelia Paris Saint Germain
- 65' Yellow card L. Mafouta Le Mans
- 68' Goal M. Akliouche (assist W. Zaïre-Emery) Paris Saint Germain
- 90+2' Yellow card R. Bamba Le Mans
- 90+2' Yellow card B. Brahimi Le Mans
- 90+3' Penalty missed D. Doué Paris Saint Germain
- 90+3' Yellow card N. Boissé Le Mans
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 71%Paris Saint Germain fair odds 1.40
- 17%Draw fair odds 5.81
- 12%Le Mans fair odds 8.67
Most likely score 2-1 (10.1%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 97% | 1.04 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 1.13 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48% | 2.09 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 29% | 3.45 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 3% | 28.99 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12% | 8.49 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 30% | 3.30 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 52% | 1.92 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 60% | 1.65 |
| Both teams to score: No | 40% | 2.53 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.1
Paris Saint Germain 7.7 · Le Mans 2.4
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 9.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 10.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 11.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 12.5 | 23% | 77% |
Expected cards: 3.4
Paris Saint Germain 1.6 · Le Mans 1.8
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 2.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 3.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 4.5 | 26% | 74% |
| 5.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 10.8
Paris Saint Germain 7.5 · Le Mans 3.3
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 9.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 10.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 11.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 12.5 | 30% | 70% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (290 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 2–1 10.1%
- 2–0 9.4%
- 3–1 8.3%
- 3–0 7.7%
- 1–1 7.7%
- 1–0 6.6%
- 4–1 5.1%
- 4–0 4.8%
Team news & lineups
Paris Saint Germain
Bench L. Chevalier , D. Doué , K. Kvaratskhelia , Vitinha , Q. Ndjantou , W. Pacho , Fabián Ruiz , Marquinhos , W. Zaïre-Emery
Le Mans
Bench D. Traoré , L. Buades , B. Brahimi , D. Guèye , W. Harhouz , E. Hatfout , Y. Larouci , A. Rabillard , Raúl Torrente
Out and doubtful
- E. Colas Le Mans Out — Injury
- E. Quarshie Le Mans Out — Coach's decision
- M. Rossignol Le Mans Out — Injury
- T. Eyoum Le Mans Out — Coach's decision
- N. Mendes Paris Saint Germain Out — Rest
- O. Dembele Paris Saint Germain Out — Rest
- S. Mayulu Paris Saint Germain Out — Muscle Injury
- A. Bourabaa Le Mans Out — Ankle Injury
- D. Sidibe Le Mans Out — Yellow Cards
- A. Longoni Paris Saint Germain Out — Injury
- L. Buades Le Mans Doubtful — Knock
- Ferran Torres Paris Saint Germain Doubtful — Ankle Injury
- W. Zaïre-Emery Paris Saint Germain Doubtful — Thigh Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Paris Saint Germain at home
5–3–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 8.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 7.2 per game
12% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Le Mans away
3–4–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 4.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.4 per game
23% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 27% | 3.67 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 29% | 3.48 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 29% | 3.48 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 8% | 11.82 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 51% | 1.96 |
| Away clean sheet | 7% | 13.68 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 64% | 1.55 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 88% | 1.13 |
| Home/Away double chance | 83% | 1.21 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 73% | 1.36 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 71% | 1.40 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 47% | 2.12 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 49% | 2.04 |
| Home clean sheet | 36% | 2.80 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 96% | 1.05 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 88% | 1.13 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 12% | 8.67 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 4% | 22.91 |