Lille vs Le Havre match stats & report
1–0 Full time
Lille beat Le Havre 1–0 in Ligue 1 on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.27–1.36. Le Havre had 53% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Lille 59%, the draw 26% and Le Havre 15%.
Lille vs Le Havre match statistics
- 47% Ball possession 53%
- 1.27 Expected goals (xG) 1.36
- 5 Total shots 17
- 1 Shots on target 2
- 4 Shots off target 10
- 0 Blocked shots 5
- 3 Shots inside the box 9
- 4 Corners 5
- 17 Fouls 12
- 4 Offsides 1
- 2 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 1
- 409 Passes 449
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 0
Goals and cards
- 5' Goal D. Bakwa (assist T. Nianzou) Lille
- 61' Red card A. Seko Le Havre
- 63' Yellow card R. Ndiaye Le Havre
- 76' Yellow card D. Ouziad Le Havre
- 85' Yellow card M. Kjærgaard Lille
- 90+2' Yellow card M. Goffi Lille
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 59%Lille fair odds 1.70
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.91
- 15%Le Havre fair odds 6.47
Most likely score 1-0 (12.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.89 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 12% | 8.46 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.35 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26% | 3.86 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.91 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 88% | 1.13 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 48% | 2.08 |
| Both teams to score: No | 52% | 1.92 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.9
Lille 6.2 · Le Havre 3.7
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 8.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 9.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 10.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 11.5 | 31% | 69% |
Expected cards: 3.8
Lille 1.9 · Le Havre 1.9
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 4.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% |
Expected shots on target: 8.7
Lille 5.7 · Le Havre 3.0
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 7.5 | 62% | 38% |
| 8.5 | 49% | 51% |
| 9.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 10.5 | 27% | 73% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (290 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–0 12.4%
- 1–1 12.2%
- 2–0 11.8%
- 2–1 10.2%
- 0–0 8.8%
- 3–0 6.7%
- 3–1 5.7%
- 0–1 4.6%
Team news & lineups
Lille
Bench I. Cossier , M. Goffi , O. Gill , S. Diaoune , B. Andre , H. Haraldsson , O. Sahraoui , A. Ueda , C. Verdonk
Le Havre
Bench V. Sasso , J. Mwanga , D. Mosengo , K. Mizuta , I. Bouneb , A. Bodart , E. Koffi Vinette , R. Fofana , G. Zohouri
Out and doubtful
- A. Toure Le Havre Out — Knee Injury
- L. Mpasi-Nzau Le Havre Out — Achilles Tendon Injury
- S. Zagadou Le Havre Out — Knee Injury
- H. Igamane Lille Out — Knee Injury
- E. Jelert Le Havre Out — Thigh Injury
- F. Mambimbi Le Havre Out — Achilles Tendon Injury
- T. Pembele Le Havre Out — Muscle Injury
- E. Mbappe Lille Out — Ankle Injury
- T. Nianzou Lille Doubtful — Knock
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Lille at home
4–4–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.4 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 4.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.3 per game
25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Le Havre away
2–4–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.1 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 4.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.7 per game
9% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Lille vs Le Havre head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Lille v Le Havre | 1–1 | |
| Le Havre v Lille | 0–1 | |
| Lille v Le Havre | 1–2 | |
| Le Havre v Lille | 0–3 | |
| Lille v Le Havre | 3–0 | |
| Le Havre v Lille | 0–2 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away clean sheet | 17% | 5.91 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 41% | 2.44 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 41% | 2.44 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 66% | 1.51 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 15% | 6.47 |
| Home clean sheet | 44% | 2.28 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 95% | 1.06 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 85% | 1.18 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 85% | 1.18 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 56% | 1.78 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.34 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 59% | 1.70 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 20% | 5.04 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 53% | 1.90 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 34% | 2.97 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 25% | 3.94 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 5% | 19.61 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 5% | 18.82 |