Chelsea vs Tottenham prediction & stats

Premier League · England · Regular Season - 8 · Stamford Bridge, London

Chelsea stats & fixtures · Tottenham stats & fixtures

Chelsea take on Tottenham in the Premier League on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Chelsea favourites at 56%, with the draw at 24%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 11.3%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 59%.

Chelsea vs Tottenham prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (11.3%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals94%1.06
Over 1.5 goals82%1.22
Over 2.5 goals58%1.71
Over 3.5 goals36%2.80
Over 4.5 goals19%5.28
Under 0.5 goals6%16.76
Under 1.5 goals18%5.50
Under 2.5 goals42%2.41
Under 3.5 goals64%1.56
Under 4.5 goals81%1.23
Both teams to score: Yes59%1.71
Both teams to score: No41%2.42

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 10.2

Chelsea 5.6 · Tottenham 4.6

Total cornersOverUnder
8.567%33%
9.556%44%
10.544%56%
11.533%67%
12.524%76%

Expected cards: 5.1

Chelsea 2.2 · Tottenham 2.9

Total cardsOverUnder
3.573%27%
4.556%44%
5.539%61%
6.525%75%
7.515%85%

Expected shots on target: 8.8

Chelsea 4.7 · Tottenham 4.1

Total shots on targetOverUnder
6.575%25%
7.563%37%
8.551%49%
9.538%62%
10.527%73%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (375 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 11.3%
  2. 2–1 10.4%
  3. 2–0 9.0%
  4. 1–0 8.2%
  5. 3–1 6.4%
  6. 0–0 6.0%
  7. 1–2 5.6%
  8. 3–0 5.6%

Team news & lineups

Chelsea

Probable — not confirmed

Tottenham

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Chelsea at home

6–1–3 in 10 matches

Scored
2.6 per game
Conceded
1.6 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Corners
4.6 per game
Shots on target
4.8 per game

15% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Tottenham away

4–3–3 in 10 matches

Scored
1.0 per game
Conceded
1.0 per game
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Corners
5.1 per game
Shots on target
3.9 per game

40% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Chelsea vs Tottenham head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Chelsea v Tottenham 1–2
Chelsea v Tottenham 2–1
Tottenham v Chelsea 0–1
Chelsea v Tottenham 1–0
Tottenham v Chelsea 3–4
Chelsea v Tottenham 2–0

The full Chelsea vs Tottenham head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home +1.5 handicap 92% 1.09
Home Over 0.5 team goals 85% 1.17
Home/Draw double chance 80% 1.26
Home +0.5 handicap 80% 1.26
Home/Away double chance 76% 1.32
Away +1.5 handicap 67% 1.48
Away Over 0.5 team goals 67% 1.49
Home Over 1.5 team goals 57% 1.74
Home -0.5 handicap 56% 1.80
Draw/Away double chance 44% 2.25
Away +0.5 handicap 44% 2.25
Home clean sheet 33% 3.05
Home -1.5 handicap 33% 3.07
Away Over 1.5 team goals 31% 3.27
Home Over 2.5 team goals 30% 3.34
Away -0.5 handicap 20% 4.91
Away clean sheet 15% 6.87
Away Over 2.5 team goals 10% 9.68
Away -1.5 handicap 8% 11.92