Aston Villa vs Manchester City prediction & stats
Aston Villa stats & fixtures · Manchester City stats & fixtures
Aston Villa take on Manchester City in the Premier League on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Manchester City favourites at 51%, with the draw at 25%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 11.4%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams scoring at 61%.
Aston Villa vs Manchester City prediction
- 24%Aston Villa fair odds 4.11
- 25%Draw fair odds 4.07
- 51%Manchester City fair odds 1.96
Most likely score 1-1 (11.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.68 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 20% | 4.96 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 17.62 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 17% | 5.82 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.50 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.60 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 61% | 1.63 |
| Both teams to score: No | 39% | 2.58 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.9
Aston Villa 4.4 · Manchester City 5.6
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 8.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 9.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 10.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 11.5 | 30% | 70% |
Expected cards: 4.1
Aston Villa 1.7 · Manchester City 2.5
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 4.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 5.5 | 24% | 76% |
| 6.5 | 13% | 87% |
Expected shots on target: 9.3
Aston Villa 4.0 · Manchester City 5.3
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 8.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 9.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 10.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 11.5 | 24% | 76% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (375 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.4%
- 1–2 10.0%
- 0–2 7.9%
- 0–1 7.3%
- 2–1 6.4%
- 1–3 6.1%
- 2–2 5.8%
- 0–0 5.7%
Team news & lineups
Aston Villa
- 8 B. Kamara Midfielder
- 11 N. Jackson Attacker
- 1 Z. Suzuki Goalkeeper
- 3 V. Lindelöf Defender
- 44 J. Manzambi Midfielder
- 2 M. Cash Defender
- 29 A. Wan-Bissaka Defender
- 10 E. Buendía Midfielder
- 35 Joao Gomes Midfielder
- 5 T. Mings Defender
- 7 J. McGinn Midfielder
Manchester City
- 6 M. Guéhi Defender
- 9 E. Haaland Attacker
- 1 G. Donnarumma Goalkeeper
- 3 Rúben Dias Defender
- 27 M. Nunes Defender
- 17 E. Fernandez Midfielder
- 10 R. Cherki Midfielder
- 42 A. Semenyo Midfielder
- 7 I. Ndiaye Midfielder
- 5 E. Anderson Midfielder
- 11 J. Doku Midfielder
Form guide
Aston Villa at home
5–1–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 4.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.3 per game
29% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Manchester City away
8–2–0 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.2 per game
- Conceded
- 0.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- 7.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.1 per game
27% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Aston Villa vs Manchester City head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester City v Aston Villa | 1–2 | |
| Aston Villa v Manchester City | 1–0 | |
| Manchester City v Aston Villa | 2–1 | |
| Aston Villa v Manchester City | 2–1 | |
| Manchester City v Aston Villa | 4–1 | |
| Aston Villa v Manchester City | 1–0 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away +1.5 handicap | 89% | 1.12 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 84% | 1.18 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 76% | 1.32 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home/Away double chance | 75% | 1.33 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 71% | 1.41 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 71% | 1.41 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 56% | 1.80 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 51% | 1.96 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 49% | 2.05 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 49% | 2.05 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 35% | 2.83 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 29% | 3.43 |
| Away clean sheet | 29% | 3.47 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 28% | 3.53 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 24% | 4.11 |
| Home clean sheet | 16% | 6.42 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 13% | 7.62 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 11% | 9.34 |