Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal prediction & stats

Premier League · England · Regular Season - 7 · City Ground, Nottingham · Ref Michael Oliver

Nottingham Forest stats & fixtures · Arsenal stats & fixtures

Nottingham Forest take on Arsenal in the Premier League on 18 October 2026. The Ghost makes Arsenal favourites at 51%, with the draw at 29%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 13.6%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 43% and both teams scoring at 47%.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (13.6%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals89%1.12
Over 1.5 goals71%1.42
Over 2.5 goals43%2.33
Over 3.5 goals22%4.55
Over 4.5 goals10%10.50
Under 0.5 goals11%9.51
Under 1.5 goals29%3.41
Under 2.5 goals57%1.75
Under 3.5 goals78%1.28
Under 4.5 goals90%1.11
Both teams to score: Yes47%2.11
Both teams to score: No53%1.90

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 9.4

Nottingham Forest 4.5 · Arsenal 4.9

Total cornersOverUnder
7.570%30%
8.559%41%
9.546%54%
10.535%65%
11.525%75%

Expected cards: 3.8

Nottingham Forest 2.0 · Arsenal 1.8

Total cardsOverUnder
1.589%11%
2.573%27%
3.553%47%
4.534%66%
5.519%81%

Expected shots on target: 7.8

Nottingham Forest 3.0 · Arsenal 4.8

Total shots on targetOverUnder
5.577%23%
6.565%35%
7.551%49%
8.538%62%
9.527%73%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (375 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 13.6%
  2. 0–1 12.6%
  3. 0–2 10.5%
  4. 0–0 10.5%
  5. 1–2 9.6%
  6. 1–0 6.3%
  7. 2–1 5.2%
  8. 0–3 5.2%

Team news & lineups

Nottingham Forest

Probable — not confirmed

Arsenal

Probable — not confirmed

Out and doubtful

  • Igor Jesus Nottingham Forest Out — Calf Injury
  • N. Savona Nottingham Forest Out — Knee Injury
  • C. Tzolis Arsenal Out — Hamstring Injury
  • P. Hincapie Arsenal Out — Ankle Injury
  • W. Saliba Arsenal Out — Back Injury
  • M. Zubimendi Arsenal Doubtful — Ankle Injury
  • M. Gibbs-White Nottingham Forest Doubtful — Injury
  • N. Milenkovic Nottingham Forest Doubtful — Knee Injury

Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.

Form guide

Nottingham Forest at home

5–3–2 in 10 matches

Scored
1.4 per game
Conceded
0.6 per game
Clean sheets
4 / 10
Corners
4.0 per game
Shots on target
3.9 per game

29% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Arsenal away

6–2–2 in 10 matches

Scored
1.4 per game
Conceded
0.9 per game
Clean sheets
4 / 10
Corners
3.8 per game
Shots on target
3.8 per game

13% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Nottingham Forest v Arsenal 0–0
Arsenal v Nottingham Forest 3–0
Nottingham Forest v Arsenal 0–0
Arsenal v Nottingham Forest 3–0
Nottingham Forest v Arsenal 1–2
Arsenal v Nottingham Forest 2–1

The full Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Home +0.5 handicap 49% 2.05
Home/Draw double chance 49% 2.05
Home clean sheet 22% 4.62
Home -0.5 handicap 20% 5.00
Home +1.5 handicap 73% 1.36
Home Over 1.5 team goals 22% 4.55
Home Over 0.5 team goals 59% 1.71
Draw/Away double chance 80% 1.25
Away clean sheet 41% 2.41
Home/Away double chance 71% 1.40
Away +0.5 handicap 80% 1.25
Home Over 2.5 team goals 6% 16.60
Away Over 0.5 team goals 78% 1.28
Away -0.5 handicap 51% 1.95
Away Over 1.5 team goals 45% 2.22
Away -1.5 handicap 27% 3.75
Away Over 2.5 team goals 19% 5.16
Away +1.5 handicap 93% 1.08
Home -1.5 handicap 7% 13.82