Leeds vs Manchester United prediction & stats
Leeds stats & fixtures · Manchester United stats & fixtures
Leeds take on Manchester United in the Premier League on 18 October 2026. The Ghost makes Manchester United favourites at 38%, with the draw at 27%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 12.7%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 60%.
Leeds vs Manchester United prediction
- 35%Leeds fair odds 2.84
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.70
- 38%Manchester United fair odds 2.65
Most likely score 1-1 (12.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.80 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.04 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 17% | 5.95 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 14.57 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20% | 4.99 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.25 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 60% | 1.67 |
| Both teams to score: No | 40% | 2.49 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.0
Leeds 4.9 · Manchester United 5.1
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 8.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 9.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 10.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 11.5 | 31% | 69% |
Expected cards: 4.0
Leeds 1.8 · Manchester United 2.2
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 4.5 | 38% | 62% |
| 5.5 | 22% | 78% |
| 6.5 | 12% | 88% |
Expected shots on target: 9.3
Leeds 3.9 · Manchester United 5.4
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 69% | 31% |
| 8.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 9.5 | 44% | 56% |
| 10.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 11.5 | 24% | 76% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (375 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.7%
- 1–2 8.7%
- 2–1 8.3%
- 0–0 6.9%
- 0–1 6.8%
- 1–0 6.4%
- 0–2 6.1%
- 2–2 5.9%
Team news & lineups
Leeds
- 2 J. Bogle Midfielder
- 1 J. Trafford Goalkeeper
- 24 J. Justin Defender
- 9 D. Calvert-Lewin Attacker
- 4 E. Ampadu Midfielder
- 18 A. Stach Midfielder
- 5 T. Muharemović Defender
- 19 N. Okafor Attacker
- 3 G. Gudmundsson Midfielder
- 22 A. Tanaka Midfielder
- 30 N. Elvedi Defender
Manchester United
- 6 Lisandro Martínez Defender
- 1 S. Lammens Goalkeeper
- 18 Y. Tielemans Midfielder
- 19 B. Mbeumo Midfielder
- 8 Bruno Fernandes Midfielder
- 9 M. Rashford Midfielder
- 2 Diogo Dalot Defender
- 37 K. Mainoo Midfielder
- 10 Matheus Cunha Attacker
- 15 L. Yoro Defender
- 5 H. Maguire Defender
Out and doubtful
- M. Ugarte Manchester United Out — Knee Injury
- P. Dorgu Manchester United Out — Hamstring Injury
- J. Rodon Leeds Out — Muscle Injury
- M. Joseph Leeds Out — Knee Injury
- B. Sesko Manchester United Out — Leg Injury
- T. Heaton Manchester United Out — Abdominal strain
- D. James Leeds Doubtful — Back Injury
- K. Mainoo Manchester United Doubtful — Injury
- L. Shaw Manchester United Doubtful — Injury
- N. Mazraoui Manchester United Doubtful — Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Leeds at home
7–3–0 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.1 per game
- Conceded
- 0.3 per game
- Clean sheets
- 7 / 10
- Corners
- 5.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.4 per game
25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Manchester United away
3–5–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 5.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.0 per game
20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Leeds vs Manchester United head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester United v Leeds | 1–1 | |
| Manchester United v Leeds | 1–2 | |
| Leeds v Manchester United | 1–1 | |
| Manchester United v Leeds | 0–0 | |
| Manchester United v Leeds | 2–0 | |
| Leeds v Manchester United | 0–2 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away -1.5 handicap | 19% | 5.34 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 38% | 2.65 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 65% | 1.54 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 43% | 2.30 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 65% | 1.54 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 19% | 5.39 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 83% | 1.21 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.37 |
| Away clean sheet | 24% | 4.13 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 81% | 1.23 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 62% | 1.61 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 62% | 1.61 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 42% | 2.40 |
| Home clean sheet | 23% | 4.37 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 35% | 2.84 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 17% | 5.80 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 17% | 5.86 |