Bournemouth vs Sunderland prediction & stats
Bournemouth stats & fixtures · Sunderland stats & fixtures
Bournemouth take on Sunderland in the Premier League on 18 October 2026. The Ghost makes Bournemouth favourites at 50%, with the draw at 27%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 12.7%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams scoring at 56%.
Bournemouth vs Sunderland prediction
- 50%Bournemouth fair odds 2.02
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.76
- 24%Sunderland fair odds 4.19
Most likely score 1-1 (12.7%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% | 3.30 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 15% | 6.69 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 8% | 13.32 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22% | 4.55 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.12 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 56% | 1.79 |
| Both teams to score: No | 44% | 2.27 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.8
Bournemouth 5.8 · Sunderland 4.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 8.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 9.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 10.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 11.5 | 29% | 71% |
Expected cards: 4.4
Bournemouth 2.2 · Sunderland 2.2
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 81% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 4.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 5.5 | 29% | 71% |
| 6.5 | 17% | 83% |
Expected shots on target: 8.8
Bournemouth 5.1 · Sunderland 3.8
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 7.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 8.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 9.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 10.5 | 28% | 72% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (375 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.7%
- 2–1 9.9%
- 1–0 9.1%
- 2–0 8.7%
- 0–0 7.5%
- 1–2 6.3%
- 3–1 5.4%
- 0–1 5.3%
Team news & lineups
Bournemouth
No lineup published yet.
Sunderland
- 27 N. Sadiki Midfielder
- 22 R. Roefs Goalkeeper
- 10 N. Angulo Midfielder
- 32 T. Hume Defender
- 28 E. Le Fée Midfielder
- 20 N. Mukiele Defender
- 4 K. Danso Defender
- 34 G. Xhaka Midfielder
- 6 D. Methalie Defender
- 17 R. Mandava Defender
- 39 M. Fofana Midfielder
Out and doubtful
- E. J. Kroupi Bournemouth Out — Foot Injury
- D. Ballard Sunderland Out — Muscle Injury
- A. Scott Bournemouth Out — Thigh Injury
- J. Araujo Bournemouth Out — Thigh Injury
- R. Mundle Sunderland Out — Knee Injury
- T. Meunier Sunderland Out — Muscle Injury
- V. Milosavljevic Bournemouth Doubtful — Injury
- W. Isidor Sunderland Doubtful — Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Bournemouth at home
4–5–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 6.8 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.5 per game
28% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Sunderland away
5–2–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 4.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.3 per game
35% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Bournemouth vs Sunderland head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Bournemouth v Sunderland | 1–1 | |
| Sunderland v Bournemouth | 3–2 |
Only 2 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 27% | 3.72 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 50% | 2.00 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 50% | 2.02 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 23% | 4.28 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 76% | 1.31 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 76% | 1.31 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.36 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 90% | 1.11 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 67% | 1.49 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 31% | 3.27 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 73% | 1.37 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 50% | 1.98 |
| Home clean sheet | 33% | 3.04 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 50% | 1.98 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 24% | 4.19 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 10% | 9.70 |
| Away clean sheet | 19% | 5.34 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 10% | 10.08 |