Newcastle vs Aston Villa match stats & report
0–1 Full time
Newcastle stats & fixtures · Aston Villa stats & fixtures
Newcastle lost to Aston Villa 0–1 in the Premier League on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.14–1.56. Aston Villa had 51% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Newcastle 49%, the draw 24% and Aston Villa 26%.
Newcastle vs Aston Villa match statistics
- 49% Ball possession 51%
- 1.14 Expected goals (xG) 1.56
- 16 Total shots 15
- 1 Shots on target 3
- 6 Shots off target 4
- 9 Blocked shots 8
- 11 Shots inside the box 11
- 4 Corners 5
- 14 Fouls 11
- 5 Offsides 0
- 6 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 401 Passes 432
- 2 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 18' Yellow card Joelinton Newcastle
- 18' Yellow card S. Botman Newcastle
- 25' Yellow card Joao Gomes Aston Villa
- 28' Yellow card Alysson Aston Villa
- 36' Goal J. Manzambi (assist Joao Gomes) Aston Villa
- 53' Yellow card Nico Newcastle
- 55' Yellow card Y. Wissa Newcastle
- 78' Yellow card W. Osula Newcastle
- 86' Yellow card M. Thiaw Newcastle
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 49%Newcastle fair odds 2.03
- 24%Draw fair odds 4.10
- 26%Aston Villa fair odds 3.81
Most likely score 1-1 (11.1%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.61 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% | 2.54 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 22% | 4.60 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 19.00 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16% | 6.26 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.63 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 61% | 1.65 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 63% | 1.58 |
| Both teams to score: No | 37% | 2.72 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.1
Newcastle 5.6 · Aston Villa 4.5
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 9.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 10.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 11.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 12.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 4.5
Newcastle 2.2 · Aston Villa 2.3
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 4.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 5.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 6.5 | 18% | 82% |
Expected shots on target: 9.9
Newcastle 5.2 · Aston Villa 4.7
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 8.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 9.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 10.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 11.5 | 30% | 70% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (370 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.1%
- 2–1 9.8%
- 2–0 7.2%
- 1–2 6.7%
- 1–0 6.6%
- 2–2 6.1%
- 3–1 6.0%
- 0–0 5.3%
Team news & lineups
Newcastle
Bench Sean Steur , B. Touré , W. Osula , J. Murphy , N. Pope , F. Schär , D. Burn , A. Dedic , A. Bamba
Aston Villa
Bench T. Harwood-Bellis , P. Torres , J. McGinn , R. Barkley , L. Bogarde , L. Goretzka , I. Mbaye , M. Bizot , B. Madjo
Out and doubtful
- G. Hemmings Aston Villa Out — Knee Injury
- J. Ramsey Newcastle Out — Thigh Injury
- A. Onana Aston Villa Out — Knee Injury
- I. Maatsen Aston Villa Out — Ankle Injury
- M. Ruggeri Aston Villa Out — Injury
- A. Elanga Newcastle Out — Knee Injury
- E. Jaouen Newcastle Out — Muscle Injury
- V. Livramento Newcastle Out — Injury
- I. Mbaye Aston Villa Doubtful — Injury
- M. Cisse Aston Villa Doubtful — Injury
- R. Barkley Aston Villa Doubtful — Injury
- B. Touré Newcastle Doubtful — Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Newcastle at home
4–2–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.5 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 3.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.0 per game
17% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Aston Villa away
5–1–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 3.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.8 per game
25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Newcastle vs Aston Villa head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa v Newcastle | 1–3 | |
| Newcastle v Aston Villa | 0–2 | |
| Aston Villa v Newcastle | 0–0 | |
| Aston Villa v Newcastle | 4–1 | |
| Newcastle v Aston Villa | 3–0 | |
| Aston Villa v Newcastle | 1–3 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 28% | 3.57 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 49% | 2.03 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 29% | 3.51 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 56% | 1.80 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 74% | 1.36 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 74% | 1.36 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 84% | 1.18 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 88% | 1.14 |
| Home clean sheet | 27% | 3.77 |
| Home/Away double chance | 76% | 1.32 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 73% | 1.36 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 72% | 1.39 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 51% | 1.97 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 38% | 2.61 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 51% | 1.97 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 26% | 3.81 |
| Away clean sheet | 16% | 6.44 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 15% | 6.64 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 12% | 8.33 |