Brentford vs Liverpool match stats & report
1–2 Full time
Brentford lost to Liverpool 1–2 in the Premier League on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 0.90–1.54. Liverpool had 60% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Brentford 38%, the draw 26% and Liverpool 35%.
Brentford vs Liverpool match statistics
- 40% Ball possession 60%
- 0.90 Expected goals (xG) 1.54
- 10 Total shots 21
- 2 Shots on target 5
- 4 Shots off target 12
- 4 Blocked shots 4
- 9 Shots inside the box 10
- 3 Corners 9
- 7 Fouls 13
- 1 Offsides 2
- 2 Yellow cards 3
- 2 Red cards 0
- 329 Passes 499
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 31' Yellow card B. Barcola Liverpool
- 44' Goal K. Lewis-Potter (assist Thiago) Brentford
- 45+8' Red card Y. Yarmolyuk Brentford
- 46' Yellow card Thiago Brentford
- 49' Yellow card J. Jacquet Liverpool
- 53' Yellow card A. Mac Allister Liverpool
- 60' Yellow card K. Schade Brentford
- 62' Goal Víctor Muñoz (assist F. Wirtz) Liverpool
- 63' Yellow card V. Janelt Brentford
- 70' Goal A. Isak (assist B. Barcola) Liverpool
- 90+2' Red card V. Janelt Brentford
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 38%Brentford fair odds 2.62
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.79
- 35%Liverpool fair odds 2.82
Most likely score 1-1 (12.3%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.07 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.85 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 18% | 5.43 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 15.89 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19% | 5.39 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.37 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 82% | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 61% | 1.63 |
| Both teams to score: No | 39% | 2.59 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.1
Brentford 4.5 · Liverpool 5.6
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 9.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 10.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 11.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 12.5 | 23% | 77% |
Expected cards: 4.0
Brentford 2.1 · Liverpool 1.9
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 4.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 5.5 | 22% | 78% |
Expected shots on target: 8.9
Brentford 4.2 · Liverpool 4.7
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 7.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 8.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 9.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 10.5 | 29% | 71% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (370 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 12.3%
- 2–1 8.7%
- 1–2 8.3%
- 1–0 6.3%
- 0–0 6.3%
- 2–2 6.1%
- 0–1 6.0%
- 2–0 5.9%
Team news & lineups
Brentford
Bench Fábio Carvalho , C. Wilson , M. Damsgaard , M. Sangaré , K. Schade , E. Diouf , N. Collins , A. Hickey , H. Valdimarsson
Liverpool
Bench L. Koumas , R. Ngumoha , G. Mamardashvili , J. Gomez , J. Frimpong , K. Tsimikas , W. Endo , T. Nyoni , C. Gakpo
Out and doubtful
- C. Bradley Liverpool Out — Knee Injury
- R. Gravenberch Liverpool Out — Red Card
- A. Milambo Brentford Out — Knock
- J. Dasilva Brentford Out — Muscle Injury
- J. Schuster Brentford Out — Ankle Injury
- K. Furo Brentford Out — Surgery
- G. Leoni Liverpool Out — Knee Injury
- H. Ekitike Liverpool Out — Achilles Tendon Injury
- K. Schade Brentford Doubtful — Injury
- M. Damsgaard Brentford Doubtful — Ankle Injury
- N. Collins Brentford Doubtful — Calf Injury
- A. Isak Liverpool Doubtful — Thigh Injury
- C. Gakpo Liverpool Doubtful — Ankle Injury
- D. Szoboszlai Liverpool Doubtful — Hamstring Injury
- R. Ngumoha Liverpool Doubtful — Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Brentford at home
4–5–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.4 per game
- Conceded
- 0.9 per game
- Clean sheets
- 5 / 10
- Corners
- 4.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.2 per game
21% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Liverpool away
5–1–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.9 per game
- Conceded
- 2.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 5.2 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.2 per game
16% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Brentford vs Liverpool head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool v Brentford | 1–1 | |
| Brentford v Liverpool | 3–2 | |
| Brentford v Liverpool | 0–2 | |
| Liverpool v Brentford | 2–0 | |
| Brentford v Liverpool | 1–4 | |
| Liverpool v Brentford | 3–0 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away -1.5 handicap | 17% | 5.74 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 35% | 2.82 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 62% | 1.62 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 62% | 1.62 |
| Away clean sheet | 22% | 4.60 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.36 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 81% | 1.24 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 83% | 1.21 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 65% | 1.55 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 65% | 1.55 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 43% | 2.32 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 38% | 2.62 |
| Home clean sheet | 23% | 4.33 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 45% | 2.21 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 19% | 5.19 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 18% | 5.44 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 20% | 5.03 |