Coventry vs Newcastle match stats & report
4–1 Full time
Coventry beat Newcastle 4–1 in the Premier League on 12 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.47–1.87. Newcastle had 67% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Coventry 32%, the draw 28% and Newcastle 41%.
Coventry vs Newcastle match statistics
- 33% Ball possession 67%
- 1.47 Expected goals (xG) 1.87
- 9 Total shots 19
- 6 Shots on target 6
- 0 Shots off target 7
- 3 Blocked shots 6
- 6 Shots inside the box 11
- 2 Corners 6
- 3 Fouls 10
- 2 Offsides 5
- 1 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 261 Passes 527
- 4 Goalkeeper saves 2
Goals and cards
- 6' Penalty scored J. Rudoni Coventry
- 48' Goal S. Cherif Coventry
- 66' Yellow card M. van Ewijk Coventry
- 70' Goal S. Botman (assist Nico) Newcastle
- 81' Goal E. Simms (assist B. Thomas-Asante) Coventry
- 81' Yellow card Joelinton Newcastle
- 86' Goal S. Mfuni (assist J. Dasilva) Coventry
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 32%Coventry fair odds 3.17
- 28%Draw fair odds 3.64
- 41%Newcastle fair odds 2.44
Most likely score 1-1 (13.1%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.87 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.24 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 15% | 6.51 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 13.48 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21% | 4.65 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.14 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 58% | 1.73 |
| Both teams to score: No | 42% | 2.38 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.1
Coventry 5.2 · Newcastle 4.8
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 9.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 10.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 11.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 12.5 | 23% | 77% |
Expected cards: 4.2
Coventry 1.8 · Newcastle 2.4
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 78% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 4.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 5.5 | 25% | 75% |
| 6.5 | 14% | 86% |
Expected shots on target: 9.0
Coventry 4.7 · Newcastle 4.2
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 7.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 8.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 9.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 10.5 | 30% | 70% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (369 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.1%
- 1–2 9.1%
- 2–1 7.7%
- 0–1 7.7%
- 0–0 7.4%
- 0–2 6.9%
- 1–0 6.4%
- 2–2 5.6%
Team news & lineups
Coventry
Bench G. Hamer , V. Torp , F. Onyeka , T. Sakamoto , J. Latibeaudiere , S. Mfuni , D. Bentley , E. Simms , Y. Gboho
Newcastle
Bench W. Osula , N. Pope , A. Dedic , F. Schär , D. Burn , A. Bamba , Joelinton , B. Touré , Sean Steur
Out and doubtful
- A. Amenda Coventry Out — Calf Injury
- K. Kesler-Hayden Coventry Out — Muscle Injury
- L. Woolfenden Coventry Out — Knee Injury
- J. Ramsey Newcastle Out — Thigh Injury
- H. Wright Coventry Out — Muscle Injury
- J. Eccles Coventry Out — Injury
- T. Awoniyi Coventry Out — Red Card
- A. Elanga Newcastle Out — Knee Injury
- E. Jaouen Newcastle Out — Muscle Injury
- Nico Newcastle Out — Injury
- V. Livramento Newcastle Out — Injury
- J. Latibeaudiere Coventry Doubtful — Injury
- M. van Ewijk Coventry Doubtful — Muscle Injury
- A. Dedic Newcastle Doubtful — Muscle Injury
- D. Burn Newcastle Doubtful — Ankle Injury
- Joelinton Newcastle Doubtful — Thigh Injury
- L. Miley Newcastle Doubtful — Injury
- W. Osula Newcastle Doubtful — Foot Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Coventry at home
6–1–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.1 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 5.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.4 per game
43% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Newcastle away
2–2–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.0 per game
- Conceded
- 2.0 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 4.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.9 per game
40% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -0.5 handicap | 32% | 3.17 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 59% | 1.69 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 59% | 1.69 |
| Home clean sheet | 22% | 4.50 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 79% | 1.26 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 14% | 6.90 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Home/Away double chance | 72% | 1.38 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 86% | 1.17 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 37% | 2.67 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 68% | 1.46 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 68% | 1.46 |
| Away clean sheet | 27% | 3.67 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 78% | 1.29 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 41% | 2.44 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 14% | 6.94 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 44% | 2.25 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 21% | 4.83 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 19% | 5.19 |