Liverpool vs Manchester City match stats & report
0–3 Full time
Liverpool stats & fixtures · Manchester City stats & fixtures
Liverpool lost to Manchester City 0–3 in the Premier League on 11 October 2026. Expected goals finished 0.94–1.36. Manchester City had 65% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Liverpool 30%, the draw 26% and Manchester City 44%.
Liverpool vs Manchester City match statistics
- 35% Ball possession 65%
- 0.94 Expected goals (xG) 1.36
- 13 Total shots 15
- 6 Shots on target 4
- 3 Shots off target 7
- 4 Blocked shots 4
- 6 Shots inside the box 8
- 5 Corners 6
- 19 Fouls 14
- 2 Offsides 2
- 2 Yellow cards 2
- 1 Red cards 0
- 296 Passes 551
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 6
Goals and cards
- 8' Yellow card R. Araújo Liverpool
- 47' Yellow card R. Gravenberch Liverpool
- 58' Yellow card N. O'Reilly Manchester City
- 62' Red card R. Gravenberch Liverpool
- 65' Goal E. Haaland Manchester City
- 68' Goal J. Doku (assist E. Anderson) Manchester City
- 78' Goal R. Cherki (assist J. Gvardiol) Manchester City
- 86' Yellow card A. Bouaddi Manchester City
- 90+1' Yellow card V. van Dijk Liverpool
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 30%Liverpool fair odds 3.30
- 26%Draw fair odds 3.89
- 44%Manchester City fair odds 2.28
Most likely score 1-1 (11.9%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.06 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.73 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 20% | 5.12 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 6% | 16.90 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18% | 5.67 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.45 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.58 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 80% | 1.24 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 62% | 1.61 |
| Both teams to score: No | 38% | 2.64 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.0
Liverpool 4.9 · Manchester City 5.1
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 9.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 10.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 11.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 12.5 | 23% | 77% |
Expected cards: 4.1
Liverpool 1.7 · Manchester City 2.4
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% |
| 4.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 5.5 | 23% | 77% |
| 6.5 | 13% | 87% |
Expected shots on target: 9.0
Liverpool 4.1 · Manchester City 4.9
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 66% | 34% |
| 8.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 9.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 10.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 11.5 | 21% | 79% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (366 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.9%
- 1–2 9.4%
- 2–1 7.5%
- 0–2 6.7%
- 0–1 6.6%
- 2–2 6.1%
- 0–0 5.9%
- 1–3 5.2%
Team news & lineups
Liverpool
Bench R. Ngumoha , F. Chiesa , T. Nyoni , W. Endo , J. Frimpong , K. Tsimikas , J. Gomez , G. Mamardashvili , J. McConnell
Manchester City
Bench Allan Elias , A. Bouaddi , J. Doku , M. Kovačić , R. Lewis , A. Khusanov , J. Gvardiol , Vitor Nunes , G. Rulli
Out and doubtful
- A. Isak Liverpool Out — Thigh Injury
- C. Bradley Liverpool Out — Knee Injury
- C. Gakpo Liverpool Out — Ankle Injury
- D. Szoboszlai Liverpool Out — Hamstring Injury
- G. Leoni Liverpool Out — Knee Injury
- H. Ekitike Liverpool Out — Achilles Tendon Injury
- P. Foden Manchester City Out — Red Card
- F. Chiesa Liverpool Doubtful — Back Injury
- J. Jacquet Liverpool Doubtful — Muscle Injury
- N. O'Reilly Manchester City Doubtful — Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Liverpool at home
2–5–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.1 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 6.5 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.6 per game
18% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Manchester City away
8–2–0 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.2 per game
- Conceded
- 0.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- 7.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.1 per game
27% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Liverpool vs Manchester City head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester City v Liverpool | 4–0 | |
| Liverpool v Manchester City | 1–2 | |
| Manchester City v Liverpool | 3–0 | |
| Manchester City v Liverpool | 0–2 | |
| Liverpool v Manchester City | 2–0 | |
| Liverpool v Manchester City | 1–1 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +0.5 handicap | 56% | 1.78 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 30% | 3.30 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 56% | 1.78 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 81% | 1.23 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 44% | 2.28 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 70% | 1.44 |
| Home/Away double chance | 74% | 1.35 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 76% | 1.31 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 70% | 1.44 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 86% | 1.17 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 75% | 1.34 |
| Away clean sheet | 25% | 3.96 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 40% | 2.49 |
| Home clean sheet | 19% | 5.38 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 14% | 7.00 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 50% | 1.99 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 16% | 6.16 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 24% | 4.25 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 24% | 4.19 |