Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest match stats & report
3–1 Full time
Crystal Palace stats & fixtures · Nottingham Forest stats & fixtures
Crystal Palace beat Nottingham Forest 3–1 in the Premier League on 11 October 2026. Expected goals finished 2.42–2.95. Nottingham Forest had 57% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Crystal Palace 40%, the draw 29% and Nottingham Forest 31%.
Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest match statistics
- 43% Ball possession 57%
- 2.42 Expected goals (xG) 2.95
- 13 Total shots 24
- 7 Shots on target 6
- 4 Shots off target 10
- 2 Blocked shots 8
- 11 Shots inside the box 17
- 5 Corners 8
- 11 Fouls 10
- 2 Offsides 1
- 2 Yellow cards 2
- 0 Red cards 0
- 384 Passes 491
- 4 Goalkeeper saves 4
Goals and cards
- 3' Goal D. Ndoye Nottingham Forest
- 16' Yellow card J. Lerma Crystal Palace
- 41' Goal D. Kamada (assist Q. Timber) Crystal Palace
- 45+4' Goal J. Lerma (assist A. Wharton) Crystal Palace
- 59' Goal Yeremy Pino Crystal Palace
- 60' Yellow card Yeremy Pino Crystal Palace
- 73' Yellow card O. Aina Nottingham Forest
- 90+4' Yellow card Murillo Nottingham Forest
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 40%Crystal Palace fair odds 2.49
- 29%Draw fair odds 3.47
- 31%Nottingham Forest fair odds 3.22
Most likely score 1-1 (13.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 1.33 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 2.05 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 13% | 7.93 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.46 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 25% | 4.05 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.96 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 87% | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 55% | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score: No | 45% | 2.20 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 9.5
Crystal Palace 4.6 · Nottingham Forest 4.9
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 71% | 29% |
| 8.5 | 60% | 40% |
| 9.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 10.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 11.5 | 26% | 74% |
Expected cards: 3.9
Crystal Palace 1.8 · Nottingham Forest 2.0
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 4.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% |
Expected shots on target: 8.1
Crystal Palace 3.7 · Nottingham Forest 4.4
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 68% | 32% |
| 7.5 | 55% | 45% |
| 8.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 9.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 10.5 | 21% | 79% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (366 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.8%
- 2–1 8.9%
- 1–0 8.7%
- 0–0 8.7%
- 1–2 7.5%
- 2–0 7.2%
- 0–1 7.2%
- 0–2 5.4%
Team news & lineups
Crystal Palace
Bench I. Sarr , W. Hughes , C. Doucoure , D. McNeil , Óscar Mingueza , H. Ahanor , R. Matthews , E. Guessand , E. Nketiah
Nottingham Forest
Bench C. Wood , John , Jair , L. Netz , N. Domínguez , C. Hudson-Odoi , I. Sangare , R. Yates , A. Kalimuendo
Out and doubtful
- C. Riad Crystal Palace Out — Knee Injury
- D. Henderson Crystal Palace Out — Foot Injury
- J. Mateta Crystal Palace Out — Hamstring Injury
- Igor Jesus Nottingham Forest Out — Calf Injury
- N. Savona Nottingham Forest Out — Knee Injury
- A. Disasi Crystal Palace Out — Red Card
- T. Tomiyasu Crystal Palace Out — Calf Injury
- N. Milenkovic Nottingham Forest Out — Knee Injury
- A. Khalaili Crystal Palace Doubtful — Muscle Injury
- N. Williams Nottingham Forest Doubtful — Illness
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Crystal Palace at home
5–1–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.1 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 4.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.6 per game
19% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Nottingham Forest away
3–2–5 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.3 per game
- Conceded
- 1.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 5.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.0 per game
20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest v Crystal Palace | 1–1 | |
| Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest | 1–1 | |
| Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest | 1–1 | |
| Nottingham Forest v Crystal Palace | 1–0 | |
| Nottingham Forest v Crystal Palace | 1–1 | |
| Crystal Palace v Nottingham Forest | 0–0 |
The full Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 20% | 5.10 |
| Home clean sheet | 30% | 3.37 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 40% | 2.49 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 69% | 1.45 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 69% | 1.45 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 17% | 5.94 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 41% | 2.43 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 86% | 1.16 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home/Away double chance | 71% | 1.40 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 80% | 1.24 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 70% | 1.42 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 60% | 1.67 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 60% | 1.67 |
| Away clean sheet | 24% | 4.09 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 34% | 2.91 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 31% | 3.22 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 14% | 7.26 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 12% | 8.01 |