Chelsea vs Bournemouth match stats & report
5–1 Full time
Chelsea stats & fixtures · Bournemouth stats & fixtures
Chelsea beat Bournemouth 5–1 in the Premier League on 10 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.16–1.52. Bournemouth had 60% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Chelsea 44%, the draw 24% and Bournemouth 32%.
Chelsea vs Bournemouth match statistics
- 40% Ball possession 60%
- 1.16 Expected goals (xG) 1.52
- 10 Total shots 9
- 6 Shots on target 4
- 2 Shots off target 3
- 2 Blocked shots 2
- 7 Shots inside the box 6
- 1 Corners 7
- 7 Fouls 15
- 1 Offsides 0
- 0 Yellow cards 4
- 0 Red cards 0
- 476 Passes 459
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 1
Goals and cards
- 2' Goal J. Henderson (assist C. Palmer) Chelsea
- 3' Goal M. Rogers (assist J. Henderson) Chelsea
- 10' Yellow card M. Tavernier Bournemouth
- 42' Yellow card A. Truffert Bournemouth
- 46' Goal Joao Pedro (assist Pedro Neto) Chelsea
- 51' Goal Evanilson Bournemouth
- 62' Yellow card T. Adams Bournemouth
- 67' Goal Joao Pedro (assist Pep Chavarría) Chelsea
- 69' Yellow card R. Christie Bournemouth
- 70' Goal J. Henderson Chelsea
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 44%Chelsea fair odds 2.29
- 24%Draw fair odds 4.10
- 32%Bournemouth fair odds 3.13
Most likely score 1-1 (10.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% | 2.39 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 24% | 4.20 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5% | 20.79 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15% | 6.85 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 36% | 2.80 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 66% | 1.52 |
| Both teams to score: No | 34% | 2.94 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.5
Chelsea 6.3 · Bournemouth 4.2
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 9.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 10.5 | 48% | 52% |
| 11.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 12.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 4.8
Chelsea 2.1 · Bournemouth 2.8
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 4.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 5.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 6.5 | 22% | 78% |
Expected shots on target: 9.3
Chelsea 4.7 · Bournemouth 4.7
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 8.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 9.5 | 45% | 55% |
| 10.5 | 34% | 66% |
| 11.5 | 24% | 76% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (360 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 10.8%
- 2–1 9.1%
- 1–2 7.6%
- 2–2 6.5%
- 2–0 6.0%
- 1–0 5.4%
- 3–1 5.4%
- 0–0 4.8%
Team news & lineups
Chelsea
Bench Estêvão , W. Fofana , M. Gusto , J. Hato , R. Lavia , M. Palestra , M. Penders , D. Welbeck , Geovany Tcherno Quenda
Bournemouth
Bench J. Sanchez , J. Soler , Á. Rodríguez , D. Jebbison , B. Doak , B. Diakité , M. Di Gregorio , L. Cook , A. Tóth
Out and doubtful
- E. J. Kroupi Bournemouth Out — Foot Injury
- J. Kluivert Bournemouth Out — Muscle Injury
- C. Palmer Chelsea Out — Muscle Injury
- J. Gittens Chelsea Out — Ankle Injury
- R. James Chelsea Out — Muscle Injury
- A. Adli Bournemouth Out — Calf Injury
- A. Scott Bournemouth Out — Thigh Injury
- J. Araujo Bournemouth Out — Thigh Injury
- V. Milosavljevic Bournemouth Out — Injury
- E. Emegha Chelsea Out — Muscle Injury
- D. Brooks Bournemouth Doubtful — Injury
- Joao Pedro Chelsea Doubtful — Knee Injury
- M. Caicedo Chelsea Doubtful — Calf Injury
- M. Palestra Chelsea Doubtful — Thigh Injury
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Chelsea at home
6–1–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 2.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 4.6 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.8 per game
15% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Bournemouth away
4–3–3 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 1.8 per game
- Clean sheets
- 1 / 10
- Corners
- 3.4 per game
- Shots on target
- 4.0 per game
12% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Chelsea vs Bournemouth head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea v Bournemouth | 2–2 | |
| Bournemouth v Chelsea | 0–0 | |
| Chelsea v Bournemouth | 2–2 | |
| Bournemouth v Chelsea | 0–1 | |
| Chelsea v Bournemouth | 2–1 | |
| Bournemouth v Chelsea | 0–0 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 20% | 5.11 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 16% | 6.36 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 32% | 3.13 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 45% | 2.24 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 56% | 1.78 |
| Away clean sheet | 17% | 5.95 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 56% | 1.78 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 76% | 1.31 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 78% | 1.28 |
| Home/Away double chance | 76% | 1.32 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 83% | 1.20 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 53% | 1.87 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 68% | 1.47 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 68% | 1.47 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 27% | 3.76 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 44% | 2.29 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 24% | 4.18 |
| Home clean sheet | 22% | 4.53 |