Mirassol vs Sao Paulo prediction & stats
Mirassol take on Sao Paulo in Serie A on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Mirassol favourites at 49%, with the draw at 28%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 13.6%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 51%.
Mirassol vs Sao Paulo prediction
- 49%Mirassol fair odds 2.05
- 28%Draw fair odds 3.51
- 23%Sao Paulo fair odds 4.39
Most likely score 1-1 (13.6%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 90% | 1.11 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.17 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 4.09 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 11% | 9.05 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 10% | 10.50 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27% | 3.72 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.85 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 89% | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 51% | 1.97 |
| Both teams to score: No | 49% | 2.03 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 11.0
Mirassol 5.6 · Sao Paulo 5.4
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 10.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 11.5 | 42% | 58% |
| 12.5 | 32% | 68% |
| 13.5 | 23% | 77% |
Expected cards: 4.5
Mirassol 2.4 · Sao Paulo 2.1
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 82% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 4.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 5.5 | 30% | 70% |
| 6.5 | 17% | 83% |
Expected shots on target: 8.9
Mirassol 5.3 · Sao Paulo 3.7
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 77% | 23% |
| 7.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 8.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 9.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 10.5 | 29% | 71% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (409 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.6%
- 1–0 11.1%
- 2–1 9.6%
- 0–0 9.5%
- 2–0 9.5%
- 0–1 6.3%
- 1–2 5.9%
- 3–1 4.8%
Team news & lineups
Mirassol
- 6 Reinaldo Defender
- 32 Igor Formiga Defender
- 30 Bruno Santos Attacker
- 3 Willian Machado Defender
- 27 Denilson Midfielder
- 22 Walter Goalkeeper
- 33 Eduardo Midfielder
- 25 Neto Moura Midfielder
- 34 Joao Victor Defender
- 95 Edson Carioca Midfielder
- 10 Chico Midfielder
Sao Paulo
- 5 Robert Arboleda Defender
- 37 Artur Midfielder
- 16 D. Bobadilla Midfielder
- 12 Iago Borduchi Midfielder
- 9 Jonathan Calleri Attacker
- 8 Marcos Antonio Midfielder
- 23 Rafael Goalkeeper
- 2 R. Toloi Defender
- 32 Pedro Lima Midfielder
- 10 Luciano Midfielder
- 28 Newton Defender
Form guide
Mirassol at home
5–4–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.2 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 5.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.2 per game
25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Sao Paulo away
0–2–8 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.6 per game
- Conceded
- 1.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 0 / 10
- Corners
- 5.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.6 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Mirassol vs Sao Paulo head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Sao Paulo v Mirassol | 1–0 | |
| Mirassol v Sao Paulo | 3–0 | |
| Sao Paulo v Mirassol | 0–2 |
Only 3 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 91% | 1.10 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 78% | 1.27 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 77% | 1.29 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 77% | 1.29 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 75% | 1.34 |
| Home/Away double chance | 72% | 1.40 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 63% | 1.59 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 51% | 1.95 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 51% | 1.95 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 49% | 2.05 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 45% | 2.21 |
| Home clean sheet | 37% | 2.68 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 26% | 3.85 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 25% | 3.95 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 23% | 4.39 |
| Away clean sheet | 22% | 4.64 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 20% | 5.09 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 9% | 11.29 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 8% | 12.69 |