Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians prediction & stats
Vasco DA Gama stats & fixtures · Corinthians stats & fixtures
Vasco DA Gama take on Corinthians in Serie A on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Vasco DA Gama favourites at 53%, with the draw at 27%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 13.1%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams scoring at 50%.
Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians prediction
- 53%Vasco DA Gama fair odds 1.89
- 27%Draw fair odds 3.65
- 20%Corinthians fair odds 5.08
Most likely score 1-1 (13.1%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 3.98 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 11% | 8.72 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 10.89 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26% | 3.80 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.88 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 89% | 1.13 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 50% | 2.00 |
| Both teams to score: No | 50% | 2.00 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.5
Vasco DA Gama 6.5 · Corinthians 4.0
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 9.5 | 59% | 41% |
| 10.5 | 47% | 53% |
| 11.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 12.5 | 27% | 73% |
Expected cards: 4.9
Vasco DA Gama 2.6 · Corinthians 2.3
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 85% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 4.5 | 53% | 47% |
| 5.5 | 36% | 64% |
| 6.5 | 22% | 78% |
Expected shots on target: 8.9
Vasco DA Gama 5.5 · Corinthians 3.4
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 76% | 24% |
| 7.5 | 64% | 36% |
| 8.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 9.5 | 40% | 60% |
| 10.5 | 29% | 71% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (409 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.1%
- 1–0 11.6%
- 2–0 10.4%
- 2–1 9.9%
- 0–0 9.2%
- 0–1 5.6%
- 3–0 5.5%
- 1–2 5.3%
Team news & lineups
Vasco DA Gama
- 30 Robert Renan Defender
- 1 Léo Jardim Goalkeeper
- 22 A. Lescano Midfielder
- 19 Bruno Duarte Attacker
- 5 S. Sosa Midfielder
- 11 Andres Gomez Attacker
- 96 Paulo Henrique Defender
- 66 Cuiabano Defender
- 9 F. Colidio Attacker
- 4 A. Saldivia Defender
- 188 Thiago Mendes Midfielder
Corinthians
- 1 Hugo Souza Goalkeeper
- 10 M. Depay Attacker
- 2 Matheuzinho Defender
- 13 Gustavo Henrique Defender
- 7 Breno Bidon Midfielder
- 21 Matheus Bidu Defender
- 14 Raniele Midfielder
- 3 Gabriel Paulista Defender
- 37 Kaio Cesar Midfielder
- 8 R. Garro Midfielder
- 9 Yuri Alberto Attacker
Form guide
Vasco DA Gama at home
5–3–2 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 0.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- 6.9 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.5 per game
20% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Corinthians away
2–4–4 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.2 per game
- Conceded
- 1.4 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 4.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 3.7 per game
42% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Vasco DA Gama vs Corinthians head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Corinthians v Vasco DA Gama | 1–0 | |
| Vasco DA Gama v Corinthians | 2–3 | |
| Corinthians v Vasco DA Gama | 3–0 | |
| Corinthians v Vasco DA Gama | 3–1 | |
| Vasco DA Gama v Corinthians | 2–0 | |
| Vasco DA Gama v Corinthians | 2–4 |
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home +1.5 handicap | 93% | 1.08 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 81% | 1.24 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 80% | 1.25 |
| Home/Away double chance | 73% | 1.38 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 71% | 1.40 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 60% | 1.66 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 53% | 1.89 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 48% | 2.06 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 47% | 2.12 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 47% | 2.12 |
| Home clean sheet | 40% | 2.52 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 29% | 3.49 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 24% | 4.24 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 22% | 4.54 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 20% | 5.08 |
| Away clean sheet | 19% | 5.13 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 7% | 13.66 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 7% | 14.82 |