Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense prediction & stats

Serie A · Brazil · Regular Season - 32 · Arena Condá, Chapeco

Chapecoense-sc stats & fixtures · Fluminense stats & fixtures

Chapecoense-sc take on Fluminense in Serie A on 24 October 2026. The Ghost makes Fluminense favourites at 50%, with the draw at 27%. The likeliest score is 1–1, at 12.8%. It puts over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 55%.

Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense prediction

Most likely score 1-1 (12.8%)

Over/under goals & BTTS prediction

MarketGhostFair odds
Over 0.5 goals92%1.09
Over 1.5 goals77%1.30
Over 2.5 goals51%1.94
Over 3.5 goals29%3.44
Over 4.5 goals14%7.09
Under 0.5 goals8%12.71
Under 1.5 goals23%4.37
Under 2.5 goals49%2.06
Under 3.5 goals71%1.41
Under 4.5 goals86%1.16
Both teams to score: Yes55%1.83
Both teams to score: No45%2.21

Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.

Corners, cards & shots prediction

Expected corners: 10.3

Chapecoense-sc 4.9 · Fluminense 5.4

Total cornersOverUnder
8.568%32%
9.557%43%
10.545%55%
11.534%66%
12.525%75%

Expected cards: 4.5

Chapecoense-sc 2.5 · Fluminense 2.0

Total cardsOverUnder
2.582%18%
3.565%35%
4.546%54%
5.530%70%
6.518%82%

Expected shots on target: 10.2

Chapecoense-sc 4.0 · Fluminense 6.2

Total shots on targetOverUnder
8.567%33%
9.555%45%
10.544%56%
11.533%67%
12.524%76%

Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (409 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.

Correct score probabilities

  1. 1–1 12.8%
  2. 1–2 9.9%
  3. 0–1 9.6%
  4. 0–2 9.0%
  5. 0–0 7.9%
  6. 2–1 6.1%
  7. 1–0 5.5%
  8. 1–3 5.3%

Team news & lineups

Chapecoense-sc

No lineup published yet.

Fluminense

Probable — not confirmed

Form guide

Chapecoense-sc at home

1–2–7 in 10 matches

Scored
1.1 per game
Conceded
2.7 per game
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Corners
5.4 per game
Shots on target
4.3 per game

9% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Fluminense away

1–5–4 in 10 matches

Scored
1.2 per game
Conceded
1.5 per game
Clean sheets
0 / 10
Corners
2.8 per game
Shots on target
3.6 per game

42% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.

Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense head-to-head

DateMatchScore
Fluminense v Chapecoense-sc 2–1

Only 1 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.

The full Chapecoense-sc vs Fluminense head-to-head record

Double chance, handicap & team goals

Market Ghost Fair odds
Away +1.5 handicap 91% 1.10
Away Over 0.5 team goals 81% 1.23
Draw/Away double chance 77% 1.30
Away +0.5 handicap 77% 1.30
Home/Away double chance 73% 1.37
Home +1.5 handicap 73% 1.37
Home Over 0.5 team goals 66% 1.52
Home +0.5 handicap 50% 2.00
Home/Draw double chance 50% 2.00
Away -0.5 handicap 50% 2.00
Away Over 1.5 team goals 49% 2.02
Away clean sheet 34% 2.93
Home Over 1.5 team goals 29% 3.43
Away -1.5 handicap 27% 3.70
Home -0.5 handicap 23% 4.32
Away Over 2.5 team goals 23% 4.36
Home clean sheet 19% 5.26
Home Over 2.5 team goals 10% 10.48
Home -1.5 handicap 9% 10.60