Atletico-MG vs Coritiba match stats & report
1–0 Full time
Atletico-MG stats & fixtures · Coritiba stats & fixtures
Atletico-MG beat Coritiba 1–0 in Serie A on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.39–0.69. Atletico-MG had 58% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Atletico-MG 60%, the draw 24% and Coritiba 16%.
Atletico-MG vs Coritiba match statistics
- 58% Ball possession 42%
- 1.39 Expected goals (xG) 0.69
- 22 Total shots 13
- 10 Shots on target 3
- 5 Shots off target 7
- 7 Blocked shots 3
- 14 Shots inside the box 7
- 10 Corners 5
- 16 Fouls 11
- 3 Offsides 1
- 0 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 0
- 541 Passes 394
- 3 Goalkeeper saves 9
Goals and cards
- 78' Goal Igor Gomes (assist Natanael) Atletico-MG
- 90+4' Yellow card Bruno Melo Coritiba
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 60%Atletico-MG fair odds 1.66
- 24%Draw fair odds 4.19
- 16%Coritiba fair odds 6.29
Most likely score 1-1 (11.4%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.86 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% | 3.22 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 15% | 6.46 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 7% | 14.16 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21% | 4.66 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 46% | 2.16 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 85% | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 53% | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score: No | 47% | 2.11 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 10.9
Atletico-MG 7.3 · Coritiba 3.6
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 9.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 10.5 | 52% | 48% |
| 11.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 12.5 | 31% | 69% |
Expected cards: 4.0
Atletico-MG 1.9 · Coritiba 2.1
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% |
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 56% | 44% |
| 4.5 | 37% | 63% |
| 5.5 | 22% | 78% |
Expected shots on target: 9.4
Atletico-MG 6.5 · Coritiba 2.9
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 70% | 30% |
| 8.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 9.5 | 46% | 54% |
| 10.5 | 35% | 65% |
| 11.5 | 25% | 75% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (405 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 11.4%
- 2–0 11.0%
- 2–1 10.5%
- 1–0 10.5%
- 0–0 7.1%
- 3–0 6.7%
- 3–1 6.4%
- 1–2 4.6%
Team news & lineups
Atletico-MG
Bench Reinier , Dudu , Robert , A. Preciado , Lyanco , Maycon , Bernard , K. Castano , Cuello , Vitao , Victor Hugo , R. Lodi
Coritiba
Bench Vini Paulista , N. Fonseca , Keiller , Maicon , B. Ocampo , Renato Marques , Rodrigo Moledo , Rodrigo Rodrigues , Tinga , Tissi , Breno Lopes , Felipe Jonatan
Out and doubtful
- Everson Atletico-MG Out — Foot Injury
- Fred Atletico-MG Out — Injury
- Gustavo Scarpa Atletico-MG Out — Muscle Injury
- Ruan Tressoldi Atletico-MG Out — Muscle Injury
- Lucas Ronier Coritiba Out — Knee Injury
- A. Franco Atletico-MG Out — Yellow Cards
- M. Cassierra Atletico-MG Out — Injury
- Lucas Taverna Coritiba Out — Inactive
- Richard Coritiba Out — Inactive
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Atletico-MG at home
7–3–0 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.9 per game
- Conceded
- 0.7 per game
- Clean sheets
- 4 / 10
- Corners
- 7.1 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.5 per game
32% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Coritiba away
2–2–6 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 0.8 per game
- Conceded
- 2.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 2 / 10
- Corners
- 3.0 per game
- Shots on target
- 2.5 per game
25% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Atletico-MG vs Coritiba head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Coritiba v Atletico-MG | 2–0 | |
| Atletico-MG v Coritiba | 1–2 | |
| Coritiba v Atletico-MG | 1–2 | |
| Coritiba v Atletico-MG | 0–1 | |
| Atletico-MG v Coritiba | 2–2 |
Only 5 previous meetings on record. The Ghost weights head-to-head lightly — form is a stronger signal.
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 23% | 4.29 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 40% | 2.51 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 40% | 2.51 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 64% | 1.56 |
| Home -1.5 handicap | 36% | 2.80 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 60% | 1.66 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 30% | 3.39 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 57% | 1.75 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 84% | 1.19 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 85% | 1.17 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 94% | 1.06 |
| Home/Away double chance | 76% | 1.31 |
| Home clean sheet | 40% | 2.50 |
| Away clean sheet | 15% | 6.88 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 7% | 15.16 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 16% | 6.29 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 6% | 17.18 |