Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras match stats & report
0–2 Full time
Atletico Paranaense stats & fixtures · Palmeiras stats & fixtures
Atletico Paranaense lost to Palmeiras 0–2 in Serie A on 17 October 2026. Expected goals finished 1.20–0.38. Atletico Paranaense had 64% of the ball. Before kick-off the Ghost gave Atletico Paranaense 44%, the draw 29% and Palmeiras 28%.
Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras match statistics
- 64% Ball possession 36%
- 1.20 Expected goals (xG) 0.38
- 24 Total shots 6
- 6 Shots on target 3
- 8 Shots off target 3
- 10 Blocked shots 0
- 10 Shots inside the box 3
- 16 Corners 1
- 11 Fouls 8
- 2 Offsides 0
- 2 Yellow cards 1
- 0 Red cards 1
- 580 Passes 339
- 1 Goalkeeper saves 6
Goals and cards
- 6' Goal Mauricio (assist J. Lopez) Palmeiras
- 9' Yellow card Gilberto Atletico Paranaense
- 10' Goal J. Piquerez Palmeiras
- 22' Yellow card Andreas Pereira Palmeiras
- 35' Yellow card J. Piquerez Palmeiras
- 43' Red card Andreas Pereira Palmeiras
- 57' Yellow card Leozinho Atletico Paranaense
The Ghost's pre-match prediction
- 44%Atletico Paranaense fair odds 2.30
- 29%Draw fair odds 3.47
- 28%Palmeiras fair odds 3.62
Most likely score 1-1 (13.8%)
Over/under goals & BTTS prediction
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 91% | 1.10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.34 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 2.09 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 3.86 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 12% | 8.36 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 9% | 11.05 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 26% | 3.91 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 52% | 1.91 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score: Yes | 53% | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score: No | 47% | 2.14 |
Every figure comes from the Ghost's score grid. No bookmaker price goes into it.
Corners, cards & shots prediction
Expected corners: 11.1
Atletico Paranaense 5.8 · Palmeiras 5.2
| Total corners | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 65% | 35% |
| 10.5 | 54% | 46% |
| 11.5 | 43% | 57% |
| 12.5 | 33% | 67% |
| 13.5 | 24% | 76% |
Expected cards: 5.2
Atletico Paranaense 2.4 · Palmeiras 2.8
| Total cards | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 4.5 | 58% | 42% |
| 5.5 | 41% | 59% |
| 6.5 | 27% | 73% |
| 7.5 | 16% | 84% |
Expected shots on target: 9.8
Atletico Paranaense 5.5 · Palmeiras 4.3
| Total shots on target | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7.5 | 74% | 26% |
| 8.5 | 63% | 37% |
| 9.5 | 51% | 49% |
| 10.5 | 39% | 61% |
| 11.5 | 29% | 71% |
Forecast from each side's recent matches in this competition (405 matches fitted). Shown for reading, never published as a call on the Ghost Record.
Correct score probabilities
- 1–1 13.8%
- 1–0 9.6%
- 2–1 9.2%
- 0–0 9.1%
- 2–0 8.1%
- 1–2 6.9%
- 0–1 6.9%
- 2–2 5.0%
Team news & lineups
Atletico Paranaense
Bench Chiqueti , Claudinho , Diogo Riquelme , Dudu , Léo , J. Portilla , Renan Peixoto , Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto , Santos , B. Zapelli , Leonardo Cerci Elias, Bruno Gonçalves Baldini
Palmeiras
Bench Benedetti , Erick Machado , Felipe Anderson , Larson , Luis Felipe , Marcelo Lomba , Marlon Freitas , E. Martinez , Paulinho , J. Arias , Arthur Gabriel , Bruno
Out and doubtful
- C. Teran Atletico Paranaense Out — Inactive
- G. Benavidez Atletico Paranaense Out — Muscle Injury
- A. Giay Palmeiras Out — Yellow Cards
- G. Gomez Palmeiras Out — Yellow Cards
- Jefte Palmeiras Out — Knee Injury
- Vitor Roque Palmeiras Out — Inactive
- Dantas Atletico Paranaense Out — Inactive
- Gilberto Junior Atletico Paranaense Out — Loan agreement
- K. A. Calderon Vargas Atletico Paranaense Out — Inactive
Only confirmed absences move the numbers. Doubts are listed so you can judge them yourself.
Form guide
Atletico Paranaense at home
4–5–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.5 per game
- Conceded
- 1.1 per game
- Clean sheets
- 3 / 10
- Corners
- 7.7 per game
- Shots on target
- 6.4 per game
33% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Palmeiras away
6–3–1 in 10 matches
- Scored
- 1.8 per game
- Conceded
- 0.6 per game
- Clean sheets
- 6 / 10
- Corners
- 4.3 per game
- Shots on target
- 5.3 per game
22% of their goals arrive after the 75th minute.
Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras head-to-head
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras v Atletico Paranaense | 1–0 | |
| Atletico Paranaense v Palmeiras | 0–2 | |
| Palmeiras v Atletico Paranaense | 0–2 | |
| Palmeiras v Atletico Paranaense | 1–0 | |
| Atletico Paranaense v Palmeiras | 2–2 | |
| Atletico Paranaense v Palmeiras | 1–3 |
The full Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras head-to-head record
Double chance, handicap & team goals
| Market | Ghost | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|
| Home -1.5 handicap | 22% | 4.59 |
| Home -0.5 handicap | 44% | 2.30 |
| Home clean sheet | 33% | 3.07 |
| Home +0.5 handicap | 72% | 1.38 |
| Home Over 1.5 team goals | 43% | 2.34 |
| Home/Draw double chance | 72% | 1.38 |
| Home Over 2.5 team goals | 18% | 5.57 |
| Home Over 0.5 team goals | 77% | 1.30 |
| Home +1.5 handicap | 88% | 1.13 |
| Home/Away double chance | 71% | 1.41 |
| Away Over 0.5 team goals | 67% | 1.48 |
| Away +1.5 handicap | 78% | 1.28 |
| Away +0.5 handicap | 56% | 1.77 |
| Draw/Away double chance | 56% | 1.77 |
| Away clean sheet | 23% | 4.30 |
| Away Over 1.5 team goals | 31% | 3.23 |
| Away -0.5 handicap | 28% | 3.62 |
| Away Over 2.5 team goals | 11% | 9.50 |
| Away -1.5 handicap | 12% | 8.56 |